🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—July 28, 2025

Introduction

Welcome to the XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis for July 28, 2025! In this detailed report, we will delve into the current gold market dynamics, focusing on the live price of 3340 USD. Our analysis will encompass both daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing various technical indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, and more. We will also examine key support and resistance levels, order blocks, and the impact of upcoming USD news on the gold market.

Market Overview

Gold has always been a safe-haven asset, and its price movements are often influenced by macroeconomic factors, including USD strength and geopolitical events. As we analyze the current market conditions, it’s crucial to consider both technical indicators and fundamental news that could impact trading decisions.

Current Market Price:

• XAUUSD: 3340 USD
  

Key Swing Levels:

• Swing High: 3365

• Swing Low: 3309
  

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • 3309 (Swing Low)

  • 3325 (Recent Low)

  • 3340 (Current Price)
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 3365 (Swing High)

  • 3380 (Psychological Level)

  • 3400 (Key Resistance)
    

4-Hour Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • 3315 (Recent Low)

  • 3320 (Minor Support)

  • 3330 (Short-term Support)
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 3350 (Minor Resistance)

  • 3365 (Swing High)

  • 3375 (Key Resistance)
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the recent swing high and low, we can identify the Fibonacci retracement levels:

• Key Levels:
  

  • 0% Level: 3365 (Swing High)

  • 23.6% Level: 3350

  • 38.2% Level: 3340 (Current Price)

  • 61.8% Level: 3325

  • 100% Level: 3309 (Swing Low)
    

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 3350

• EMA 100: 3335

• EMA 200: 3310

• EMA 400: 3295
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 3345

• EMA 100: 3330

• EMA 200: 3315

• EMA 400: 3300
  

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently shows a divergence on the daily time frame, indicating potential reversal points. As the price approaches the swing high of 3365, the RSI is failing to reach new highs, suggesting weakening momentum.

Order Blocks

Identifying order blocks on the daily and 4-hour charts reveals key areas of buying and selling interest:

• Daily Order Blocks:
  

  • Bullish Block: 3300 - 3310

  • Bearish Block: 3350 - 3365
    

• 4-Hour Order Blocks:
  

  • Bullish Block: 3320 - 3330

  • Bearish Block: 3350 - 3360
    

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart, which may indicate a short-term upward movement. However, the daily MACD remains flat, suggesting caution for longer-term positions.

Summary of Key Levels

• Daily Support Levels: 3309, 3325, 3340

• Daily Resistance Levels: 3365, 3380, 3400

• 4-Hour Support Levels: 3315, 3320, 3330

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: 3350, 3365, 3375
  

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 3350

• EMA 100: 3335

• EMA 200: 3310

• EMA 400: 3295
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 3345

• EMA 100: 3330

• EMA 200: 3315

• EMA 400: 3300
  

Weekly Pivots

• Pivot Point: 3340

• Resistance Levels: 3360, 3380

• Support Levels: 3320, 3300
  

Daily Pivots

• Pivot Point: 3340

• Resistance Levels: 3350, 3360

• Support Levels: 3330, 3320
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• Key Levels: 3365 (0%), 3350 (23.6%), 3340 (38.2%), 3325 (61.8%), 3309 (100%)
  

Fundamental Analysis and USD News

Looking ahead, several important USD news events could impact the gold market:

• Federal Reserve Meetings: Anticipated discussions on interest rates may lead to volatility in gold prices.

• Employment Reports: Upcoming job data releases could influence USD strength, subsequently affecting gold demand.

• Inflation Data: Rising inflation concerns may drive investors towards gold as a hedge.

It’s essential for traders to stay informed about these events, as they can significantly affect market sentiment and trading strategies.

Conclusion

In summary, the XAUUSD market is currently positioned at a critical juncture, with various technical indicators suggesting both opportunities and risks. As we monitor the price action around key support and resistance levels, it will be crucial to remain aware of upcoming USD news that could sway market dynamics. By leveraging the insights from our analysis, traders can make informed decisions in the ever-evolving gold market.