🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—November 12, 2025
- Neom
- Nov 12, 2025
- 3 min read
Introduction
The gold market continues to be a focal point for traders and investors alike, especially with the current live price of 4107 USDÂ for XAUUSD. This analysis will delve into the daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Weekly and Daily Pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support & Resistance Levels, Order Blocks, and MACD.
By understanding these indicators, traders can make informed decisions in the dynamic gold market.
Market Overview
Current Price:
4107 USD
Swing High & Low
Swing High: 4381 USD
Swing Low: 3928 USD
Technical Analysis
Support & Resistance Levels
Daily Time Frame
Resistance Levels:
R1: 4145 USD
R2: 4200 USD
R3: 4250 USD
Support Levels:
S1: 4080 USD
S2: 4035 USD
S3: 4000 USD
4-Hour Time Frame
Resistance Levels:
R1: 4120 USD
R2: 4155 USD
R3: 4180 USD
Support Levels:
S1: 4090 USD
S2: 4060 USD
S3: 4040 USD
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Using the swing high of 4381 USDÂ and swing low of 3928 USD, we can identify key Fibonacci retracement levels that might influence trading decisions:
23.6% Level: 4095 USD
38.2% Level: 4120 USD
50% Level: 4155 USD
61.8% Level: 4185 USD
These levels are crucial as they often act as potential reversal points in the market.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
Daily Time Frame
EMA 50: 4050 USD
EMA 100: 4025 USD
EMA 200: 3980 USD
EMA 400: 3950 USD
The EMAs on the daily time frame indicate a bullish trend as the current price is above the 50 EMA, suggesting potential upward movement.
4-Hour Time Frame
EMA 50: 4100 USD
EMA 100: 4080 USD
EMA 200: 4050 USD
EMA 400: 4020 USD
The 4-hour EMAs also support the bullish outlook, with the price consistently above the shorter-term EMAs.
RSI Divergence
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both the daily and 4-hour time frames indicates potential divergence. Currently, the RSI is showing overbought conditions, suggesting that a correction may be imminent if the price fails to break through the resistance levels.
Daily RSI: 72 (Overbought)
4-Hour RSI: 68 (Approaching Overbought)
Order Blocks
Order blocks on the daily and 4-hour time frames highlight areas where institutional buying or selling has occurred. Key order blocks to watch include:
Daily Order Block: 4000-4025 USD
4-Hour Order Block: 4080-4100 USD
These zones can act as significant support or resistance levels, influencing price action.
MACD Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows bullish momentum on the daily time frame, with the MACD line above the signal line. However, caution is advised as the histogram is starting to flatten, indicating potential weakening momentum.
Daily MACD: Bullish
4-Hour MACD: Also bullish but showing signs of convergence.
Summary of Key Levels
Daily Support and Resistance
Resistance: 4145 USD, 4200 USD, 4250 USD
Support: 4080 USD, 4035 USD, 4000 USD
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels
Daily Time Frame
EMA 50: 4050 USD
EMA 100: 4025 USD
EMA 200: 3980 USD
EMA 400: 3950 USD
4-Hour Time Frame
EMA 50: 4100 USD
EMA 100: 4080 USD
EMA 200: 4050 USD
EMA 400: 4020 USD
Weekly Pivots
Weekly Pivot Point: 4100 USD
Resistance Levels: 4140 USD, 4180 USD
Support Levels: 4080 USD, 4040 USD
Daily Pivots
Daily Pivot Point: 4105 USD
Resistance Levels: 4125 USD, 4145 USD
Support Levels: 4090 USD, 4070 USD
Conclusion
In summary, the XAUUSD market presents a complex landscape characterized by significant support and resistance levels, key Fibonacci retracement points, and various technical indicators that suggest a bullish trend. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring the EMAs, RSI, and MACD for potential signals. The analysis indicates that while bullish momentum is present, caution is warranted due to overbought conditions and potential corrections.
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