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🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis - November 5, 2025

  • Neom
  • Nov 5, 2025
  • 3 min read

Introduction

In today's analysis, we delve into the XAUUSD (Gold) market, currently priced at 3962 USD. Using various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC), we will provide a comprehensive overview of the daily and 4-hour time frames. This detailed analysis aims to equip traders with the necessary insights to make informed decisions in the dynamic gold market.

Market Overview

Gold has long been a safe-haven asset, and its price movements are influenced by various economic factors. As we analyze the current market, we will highlight key support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, and other essential indicators that are crucial for traders.

Technical Analysis

1. Support & Resistance Levels

  • Daily Time Frame:

    • Support Level 1: 3886

    • Support Level 2: 3920

    • Resistance Level 1: 4000

    • Resistance Level 2: 4100

  • 4-Hour Time Frame:

    • Support Level 1: 3950

    • Support Level 2: 3965

    • Resistance Level 1: 3985

    • Resistance Level 2: 4020

These levels serve as critical points where price action may react, providing traders with opportunities for entry and exit.

2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Utilizing the swing high of 4281 and swing low of 3886, we can identify key Fibonacci retracement levels:

  • 23.6% Level: 3957

  • 38.2% Level: 4010

  • 61.8% Level: 4050

These levels help in identifying potential reversal points in the market, allowing traders to position themselves accordingly.

3. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

  • Daily Time Frame:

    • EMA 50: 3940

    • EMA 100: 3925

    • EMA 200: 3900

    • EMA 400: 3860

  • 4-Hour Time Frame:

    • EMA 50: 3965

    • EMA 100: 3975

    • EMA 200: 3985

    • EMA 400: 3995

The EMAs provide insights into the trend direction and potential support/resistance levels. A crossover of the shorter EMAs above the longer EMAs may indicate a bullish trend.

4. RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently indicating potential divergence on both daily and 4-hour time frames. A bearish divergence may suggest that the current upward momentum is weakening, while a bullish divergence could signal a potential reversal to the upside. Traders should monitor the RSI closely for confirmation signals.

5. Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling has occurred, leading to potential future price reactions. In the current analysis:

  • Bullish Order Block: Located around 3920.

  • Bearish Order Block: Found near 4000.

These areas can act as key levels for traders looking to enter or exit positions based on market sentiment.

6. MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator provides insights into momentum and trend strength. Currently, the MACD histogram is showing signs of convergence, suggesting a potential shift in momentum. Traders should keep an eye on the MACD crossover for possible buy or sell signals.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

  • Daily Support: 3886, 3920

  • Daily Resistance: 4000, 4100

  • 4-Hour Support: 3950, 3965

  • 4-Hour Resistance: 3985, 4020

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

  • Daily EMA Levels:

    • EMA 50: 3940

    • EMA 100: 3925

    • EMA 200: 3900

    • EMA 400: 3860

  • 4-Hour EMA Levels:

    • EMA 50: 3965

    • EMA 100: 3975

    • EMA 200: 3985

    • EMA 400: 3995

Weekly Pivots

  • Weekly Pivot Point 1: 3920

  • Weekly Pivot Point 2: 3985

  • Weekly Pivot Point 3: 4040

Daily Pivots

  • Daily Pivot Point 1: 3950

  • Daily Pivot Point 2: 3970

  • Daily Pivot Point 3: 3990

Conclusion

As we conclude this market analysis, it is essential for traders to keep these key levels and indicators in mind when making trading decisions in the XAUUSD market. The interplay between support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement, EMA, RSI divergence, order blocks, and MACD will provide valuable insights into potential price movements. Staying informed and adapting to market changes is crucial for successful trading.


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