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🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—June 13, 2025

  • Neom
  • Jun 16
  • 4 min read

Introduction

As of today, the current live price of gold (XAUUSD) is 3,425 USD. This detailed market analysis will provide insights into the daily and 4-hour time frames using various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Weekly and Daily Pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support & Resistance Levels, Order Blocks, and MACD. Traders and investors will find valuable information to guide their trading strategies. 📊✨

Market Analysis

Current Market Overview

The gold market is currently trading at 3,425 USD, reflecting robust interest among investors as they navigate economic uncertainties. This analysis will delve into the key indicators that can help traders identify potential price movements. 💰🔍

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame

  • Support Levels:

    • 3,350 USD: A psychological support level that may hold in the short term. 💪

    • 3,300 USD: A previous swing low that has served as a significant support zone. 🛡️

    • 3,250 USD: A level where buying interest has previously emerged. 📈

  • Resistance Levels:

    • 3,450 USD: A key resistance level where selling pressure has historically emerged. ⛔

    • 3,480 USD: A strong resistance level that coincides with previous highs. 🚀

    • 3,500 USD: A critical psychological barrier for traders. 🎯

4-Hour Time Frame

  • Support Levels:

    • 3,400 USD: A recent low that may act as a support level in the short term. 🔒

    • 3,375 USD: A level where buying interest has been noted. 📊

    • 3,350 USD: A further support level that traders may watch closely. 👀

  • Resistance Levels:

    • 3,440 USD: A resistance level that has been tested multiple times. ⚡

    • 3,460 USD: Represents a short-term resistance zone. 📉

    • 3,480 USD: A critical level that could trigger selling. 🚫

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the recent swing high of 3,403 USD and swing low of 3,293 USD, we can identify the following Fibonacci retracement levels:

  • 23.6% Retracement: 3,320 USD 📏

  • 38.2% Retracement: 3,350 USD 🔼

  • 50.0% Retracement: 3,350 USD 🔄

  • 61.8% Retracement: 3,390 USD 📊

  • 78.6% Retracement: 3,410 USD 📈

These levels indicate potential reversal zones where traders might look for buying or selling opportunities. 🔄

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame

  • EMA 50: 3,380 USD 📊

  • EMA 100: 3,350 USD 📈

  • EMA 200: 3,300 USD 📉

  • EMA 400: 3,250 USD 🔻

The EMAs indicate a bullish trend as the price is currently above the 50 EMA, suggesting upward momentum. 🚀

4-Hour Time Frame

  • EMA 50: 3,420 USD 📈

  • EMA 100: 3,400 USD 📊

  • EMA 200: 3,350 USD 📉

  • EMA 400: 3,300 USD 🔻

The 4-hour EMAs also reflect a bullish sentiment, with the price trading above the shorter-term EMAs. 🌟

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 62, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. However, if we observe a divergence between price action and the RSI, it could signal a potential reversal. Recent price increases accompanied by a declining RSI may indicate weakening momentum. ⚖️

Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling has occurred. In the current market, we can identify:

  • Bullish Order Block: Located around 3,350 USD, where buying pressure has previously emerged. 🟢

  • Bearish Order Block: Found near 3,450 USD, where sellers have previously stepped in. 🔴

MACD Analysis

The MACD indicator currently shows a bullish crossover, with the MACD line above the signal line. This suggests that upward momentum may continue in the near term, but traders should remain cautious of potential reversals. 📈🔄

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Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

  • Daily Support Levels: 3,350 USD, 3,300 USD, 3,250 USD

  • Daily Resistance Levels: 3,450 USD, 3,480 USD, 3,500 USD

  • 4-Hour Support Levels: 3,400 USD, 3,375 USD, 3,350 USD

  • 4-Hour Resistance Levels: 3,440 USD, 3,460 USD, 3,480 USD

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

  • Daily EMA Levels:

    • EMA 50: 3,380 USD

    • EMA 100: 3,350 USD

    • EMA 200: 3,300 USD

    • EMA 400: 3,250 USD

  • 4-Hour EMA Levels:

    • EMA 50: 3,420 USD

    • EMA 100: 3,400 USD

    • EMA 200: 3,350 USD

    • EMA 400: 3,300 USD

Weekly Pivots

  • Pivot Point: 3,400 USD 🔄

  • Resistance 1: 3,440 USD 🚀

  • Support 1: 3,350 USD 🛡️

Daily Pivots

  • Pivot Point: 3,420 USD 📊

  • Resistance 1: 3,440 USD 🚀

  • Support 1: 3,400 USD 🔒

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

  • 23.6%: 3,320 USD 📏

  • 38.2%: 3,350 USD 🔼

  • 50.0%: 3,350 USD 🔄

  • 61.8%: 3,390 USD 📊

  • 78.6%: 3,410 USD 📈

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

📈 As we look ahead, several important USD news events are scheduled that could impact the gold market:

  1. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Release: Scheduled for next week, the CPI report will provide insights into inflation trends. Higher inflation may lead to increased demand for gold, potentially driving prices up. 💹

  2. Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming meeting will focus on interest rates and monetary policy. Any signals of tightening could strengthen the USD, affecting gold prices inversely. ⚖️

  3. Employment Data: The monthly employment report will be released soon, providing insights into economic health. Strong employment figures typically correlate with lower gold demand. 📉

These upcoming events are crucial for traders to monitor, as they can significantly influence market sentiment and price movements in the gold sector. 🌍

Conclusion

In summary, the XAUUSD market presents a mix of bullish and cautious signals based on technical indicators. With the current price at 3,425 USD, traders should remain vigilant, leveraging support and resistance levels, EMAs, and other technical tools to navigate potential market fluctuations. By staying informed about upcoming USD news, traders can better position themselves for opportunities in the gold market. 💼✨


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