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Neom Financial Academy

🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—June 13, 2025

  • Neom
  • Jun 13
  • 3 min read

Introduction 🌟

Gold (XAUUSD) has always been a safe haven for investors, especially in volatile markets. As of today, the live price of gold stands at 3,427 USD. This analysis will delve into the daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing various technical indicators such as Fibonacci retracement levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), RSI divergence, weekly and daily pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), support and resistance levels, order blocks, and MACD.

Market Analysis 📊

Current Price Overview 💰

With the current gold price at 3,427 USD, we will analyze the market using the following indicators:

Support and Resistance Levels 🔒

  • Daily Time Frame:

    • Support Levels:

      • 3,403 USD (Recent Swing High)

      • 3,293 USD (Recent Swing Low)

    • Resistance Levels:

      • 3,450 USD (Potential Resistance)

      • 3,500 USD (Psychological Level)

  • 4-Hour Time Frame:

    • Support Levels:

      • 3,400 USD

      • 3,350 USD

    • Resistance Levels:

      • 3,440 USD

      • 3,480 USD

Fibonacci Retracement Levels 📉

Using the recent swing high of 3,403 USD and swing low of 3,293 USD, the Fibonacci retracement levels are calculated as follows:

  • 23.6% Retracement Level: 3,364 USD

  • 38.2% Retracement Level: 3,373 USD

  • 50.0% Retracement Level: 3,348 USD

  • 61.8% Retracement Level: 3,322 USD

These levels provide crucial insights into potential reversal points and areas of interest for traders.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) 📈

Daily Time Frame EMAs:

  • EMA 50: 3,410 USD

  • EMA 100: 3,370 USD

  • EMA 200: 3,330 USD

  • EMA 400: 3,290 USD

4-Hour Time Frame EMAs:

  • EMA 50: 3,420 USD

  • EMA 100: 3,400 USD

  • EMA 200: 3,375 USD

  • EMA 400: 3,350 USD

The EMAs are essential for understanding the trend direction and potential entry and exit points.

RSI Divergence 📊

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently shows a divergence that traders should monitor closely. If the RSI forms a lower high while the price makes a higher high, this could indicate a potential reversal in the upward trend. Currently, the RSI is positioned around 62, suggesting that gold may be overbought, warranting caution.

Order Blocks 📦

Order blocks play a significant role in understanding market structure. The recent order block identified around 3,400 USD has shown substantial buying interest, indicating that this level could act as a strong support zone. Traders should watch for price action around this area for potential buying opportunities.

MACD Analysis 📊

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is currently bullish, with the MACD line above the signal line. This indicates that momentum is favoring the buyers. However, traders should remain vigilant for any crossovers that could signal a change in trend.

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Summary 📝

Key Levels

  • Daily Support and Resistance:

    • Support: 3,403 USD, 3,293 USD

    • Resistance: 3,450 USD, 3,500 USD

  • 4-Hour Support and Resistance:

    • Support: 3,400 USD, 3,350 USD

    • Resistance: 3,440 USD, 3,480 USD

  • Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels:

    • Daily Time Frame:

      • EMA 50: 3,410 USD

      • EMA 100: 3,370 USD

      • EMA 200: 3,330 USD

      • EMA 400: 3,290 USD

    • 4-Hour Time Frame:

      • EMA 50: 3,420 USD

      • EMA 100: 3,400 USD

      • EMA 200: 3,375 USD

      • EMA 400: 3,350 USD

  • Weekly Pivots:

    • Pivot Point: 3,410 USD

    • Resistance 1: 3,440 USD

    • Support 1: 3,380 USD

  • Daily Pivots:

    • Pivot Point: 3,425 USD

    • Resistance 1: 3,450 USD

    • Support 1: 3,400 USD

  • Fibonacci Retracement Levels:

    • 23.6%: 3,364 USD

    • 38.2%: 3,373 USD

    • 50.0%: 3,348 USD

    • 61.8%: 3,322 USD

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News 📰

As we approach the upcoming week, several key USD news events could significantly impact the gold market. Traders should pay attention to:

  • Federal Reserve Meetings: Any indications of changes in interest rates could lead to fluctuations in gold prices.

  • Employment Reports: Strong job growth may bolster the USD, potentially exerting downward pressure on gold.

  • Inflation Data: Rising inflation figures could drive investors towards gold as a hedge, influencing demand.

These economic indicators will be critical to watch, as they can alter market sentiment and affect the gold price trajectory.

Conclusion 🔍

In summary, the current analysis of XAUUSD reveals critical support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement points, and various technical indicators that traders should consider. With the ongoing economic developments and upcoming USD news, the gold market remains dynamic and requires careful monitoring.


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