🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—June 12, 2025

Introduction

Welcome to your daily market analysis for XAUUSD! As of today, the live price of gold stands at 3,371 USD. 🪙 This analysis will delve into the daily and 4-hour timeframes, utilizing various technical indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, and more. By the end of this analysis, you'll have a comprehensive understanding of the current market trends, key support and resistance levels, and the potential impact of upcoming USD news on the gold market. 📈

Market Overview

Current Price

• Gold (XAUUSD): 3,371 USD
  

Recent Swing Levels

• Swing High: 3,403 USD 🌟

• Swing Low: 3,293 USD 📉
  

Technical Analysis

Support and Resistance Levels

Daily Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Level: 3,293 USD 🔽

  • 2nd Level: 3,350 USD 🔽

  • 3rd Level: 3,370 USD 🔽
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Level: 3,371 USD 🔼

  • 2nd Level: 3,400 USD 🔼

  • 3rd Level: 3,403 USD 🔼
    

4-Hour Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Level: 3,300 USD 🔽

  • 2nd Level: 3,340 USD 🔽

  • 3rd Level: 3,360 USD 🔽
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Level: 3,371 USD 🔼

  • 2nd Level: 3,385 USD 🔼

  • 3rd Level: 3,400 USD 🔼
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the recent swing high and swing low, the Fibonacci levels can provide critical insights into potential retracement levels. The key Fibonacci levels to watch include:

• 23.6%: 3,350 USD 📊

• 38.2%: 3,320 USD 📊

• 61.8%: 3,293 USD 📊
  

These levels can act as potential reversal points in the market.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Timeframe

• EMA 50: 3,345 USD 📈

• EMA 100: 3,320 USD 📈

• EMA 200: 3,290 USD 📈

• EMA 400: 3,265 USD 📈
  

4-Hour Timeframe

• EMA 50: 3,360 USD 📈

• EMA 100: 3,350 USD 📈

• EMA 200: 3,340 USD 📈

• EMA 400: 3,320 USD 📈
  

The EMAs help identify the trend direction and potential support/resistance levels.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing a divergence on the daily timeframe. 📉 This divergence indicates that while prices are making higher highs, the RSI is not confirming the same, suggesting potential weakness in the upward momentum. Traders should be cautious and watch for possible reversals or pullbacks.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where institutional buying or selling has occurred, leading to significant price movements. Currently, notable order blocks on the daily chart are found around:

• 3,300 USD (Buy Order Block) 💰

• 3,375 USD (Sell Order Block) 💸
  

These levels can provide insights into where price may react in the future.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing bullish momentum on the daily timeframe, but the histogram is starting to flatten, indicating a potential shift in momentum. 📊 Traders should monitor this closely for any signs of a trend reversal or continuation.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support: 3,293 USD, 3,350 USD, 3,370 USD 🔽

• Daily Resistance: 3,371 USD, 3,400 USD, 3,403 USD 🔼

• 4-Hour Support: 3,300 USD, 3,340 USD, 3,360 USD 🔽

• 4-Hour Resistance: 3,371 USD, 3,385 USD, 3,400 USD 🔼
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 3,345 USD 📈

  • EMA 100: 3,320 USD 📈

  • EMA 200: 3,290 USD 📈

  • EMA 400: 3,265 USD 📈
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 3,360 USD 📈

  • EMA 100: 3,350 USD 📈

  • EMA 200: 3,340 USD 📈

  • EMA 400: 3,320 USD 📈
    

Weekly Pivots

• Pivot Point: 3,350 USD 🔄

• Resistance: 3,400 USD, 3,420 USD 🔼

• Support: 3,300 USD, 3,280 USD 🔽
  

Daily Pivots

• Pivot Point: 3,371 USD 🔄

• Resistance: 3,385 USD, 3,400 USD 🔼

• Support: 3,360 USD, 3,340 USD 🔽
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6%: 3,350 USD 📊

• 38.2%: 3,320 USD 📊

• 61.8%: 3,293 USD 📊
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

Upcoming USD News

As we look ahead, several crucial economic indicators are set to be released that could significantly impact the gold market. Key upcoming USD news includes:

• Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: Any changes in interest rates can affect gold prices as they influence the dollar's strength. 📉

• Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Scheduled for later this month, the NFP report will provide insights into employment trends, affecting market sentiment and gold demand. 👷‍♂️

• Consumer Price Index (CPI): The upcoming CPI data will shed light on inflation, which is a critical factor for gold traders. 📈
  

These events will likely create volatility in the market, and traders should be prepared for potential price fluctuations.

Conclusion

In summary, the XAUUSD market is currently navigating through significant technical levels and indicators. With the price at 3,371 USD, traders should keep a close eye on support and resistance levels, EMAs, and RSI divergence for potential trading opportunities. Additionally, upcoming USD news could have a profound impact on gold prices, making it essential to stay informed. 📊