🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—July 11, 2025
- Neom
- Jul 11
- 3 min read
Introduction
In today's analysis, we delve into the XAUUSD (Gold) market, currently trading at 3,332 USD. This comprehensive overview will utilize various technical indicators to provide insights into the daily and 4-hour time frames. We will explore support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, exponential moving averages (EMAs), RSI divergence, order blocks, and the MACD. Additionally, we will highlight important upcoming USD news that may affect the gold market.
Market Analysis
Support & Resistance Levels
Daily Time Frame:
Support Levels:
1: 3,300 USD
2: 3,282 USD (Swing Low)
3: 3,250 USD
Resistance Levels:
1: 3,365 USD (Swing High)
2: 3,400 USD
3: 3,420 USD
4-Hour Time Frame:
Support Levels:
1: 3,320 USD
2: 3,300 USD
3: 3,280 USD
Resistance Levels:
1: 3,340 USD
2: 3,360 USD
3: 3,380 USD
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Using the recent swing high of 3,365 USD and swing low of 3,282 USD, the key Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:
23.6%: 3,319 USD
38.2%: 3,307 USD
50%: 3,324 USD
61.8%: 3,338 USD
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
Daily Time Frame:
EMA 50: 3,310 USD
EMA 100: 3,295 USD
EMA 200: 3,270 USD
EMA 400: 3,250 USD
4-Hour Time Frame:
EMA 50: 3,325 USD
EMA 100: 3,310 USD
EMA 200: 3,295 USD
EMA 400: 3,280 USD
RSI Divergence
Currently, the RSI indicates a potential divergence on the daily time frame. As prices approach the swing high of 3,365 USD, the RSI has shown lower highs, suggesting a weakening momentum. This divergence could signal a potential reversal or correction in the near term.
Order Blocks
Order blocks are identified around the key support and resistance levels:
Bullish Order Block: 3,300 USD
Bearish Order Block: 3,360 USD
These order blocks represent areas where institutional buying and selling activity has occurred, indicating potential price reversals.
MACD Analysis
The MACD is currently showing bullish momentum on the 4-hour time frame, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line. This bullish crossover suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend, provided that the price maintains above the key support levels.
Summary of Key Levels
Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance Levels
Daily Support: 3,300 USD, 3,282 USD, 3,250 USD
Daily Resistance: 3,365 USD, 3,400 USD, 3,420 USD
4-Hour Support: 3,320 USD, 3,300 USD, 3,280 USD
4-Hour Resistance: 3,340 USD, 3,360 USD, 3,380 USD
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels
Daily EMA 50: 3,310 USD
Daily EMA 100: 3,295 USD
Daily EMA 200: 3,270 USD
Daily EMA 400: 3,250 USD
4-Hour EMA 50: 3,325 USD
4-Hour EMA 100: 3,310 USD
4-Hour EMA 200: 3,295 USD
4-Hour EMA 400: 3,280 USD
Weekly Pivots
Pivot Point: 3,320 USD
Resistance 1: 3,350 USD
Support 1: 3,290 USD
Daily Pivots
Pivot Point: 3,330 USD
Resistance 1: 3,350 USD
Support 1: 3,310 USD
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
23.6%: 3,319 USD
38.2%: 3,307 USD
50%: 3,324 USD
61.8%: 3,338 USD
Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News
As we look ahead, several key USD news events are scheduled that may impact the gold market:
Consumer Price Index (CPI) Release - Scheduled for July 15, 2025. A higher-than-expected CPI could strengthen the USD, leading to downward pressure on gold prices.
Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes - Expected on July 17, 2025. Insights into potential interest rate changes can significantly influence gold prices.
Retail Sales Data - Set to be released on July 20, 2025. Strong retail sales figures could indicate economic strength, potentially reducing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Understanding these upcoming events is crucial for traders and investors in the gold market, as they can lead to increased volatility and price fluctuations.
Conclusion
In summary, the XAUUSD market presents a complex landscape influenced by various technical indicators and upcoming economic events. By closely monitoring support and resistance levels, EMAs, RSI divergence, and fundamental news, traders can make informed decisions. As we approach significant USD news, the interplay between economic data and gold prices will be critical to watch in the coming days.
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