🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—August 5, 2025

Introduction

As one of the most sought-after precious metals, gold (XAUUSD) remains a focal point for investors and traders alike. Currently priced at $3,371, the market dynamics of gold are influenced by various technical indicators and fundamental factors. In this analysis, we will explore the daily and 4-hour time frames using indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, Weekly and Daily Pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support and Resistance Levels, Order Blocks, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). This comprehensive overview will equip traders with the insights needed to navigate the gold market effectively.

Market Analysis Overview

Current Market Price: $3,371

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • $3,268 (Recent Swing Low)

  • $3,200

  • $3,150
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • $3,438 (Recent Swing High)

  • $3,500

  • $3,600
    

4-Hour Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • $3,300

  • $3,250

  • $3,220
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • $3,380

  • $3,400

  • $3,420
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Fibonacci retracement levels are crucial for identifying potential reversal points in the market. Based on the recent swing high of $3,438 and swing low of $3,268, the key Fibonacci levels are:

• 23.6% Level: $3,378

• 38.2% Level: $3,360

• 50% Level: $3,353

• 61.8% Level: $3,340
  

These levels help traders anticipate where price action may find support or resistance as it retraces.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily EMA Levels:

• EMA 50: $3,345

• EMA 100: $3,325

• EMA 200: $3,300

• EMA 400: $3,250
  

4-Hour EMA Levels:

• EMA 50: $3,355

• EMA 100: $3,340

• EMA 200: $3,325

• EMA 400: $3,300
  

The EMAs provide a smoothed view of price trends over different time frames, assisting traders in identifying potential entry and exit points.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Currently, we observe a potential bullish divergence as the price makes lower lows while the RSI shows higher lows. This divergence could indicate a strengthening momentum, suggesting a possible price reversal to the upside.

Order Blocks

Order blocks represent areas where significant buying or selling has occurred, often leading to price reversals. In the current analysis, we identify potential order blocks near the support levels of $3,300 and $3,250. These zones may act as critical areas for price action, providing opportunities for traders to enter positions.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is another essential tool for traders. The MACD line crossing above the signal line can indicate bullish momentum, while a cross below may signal bearish trends. Currently, traders should monitor the MACD for potential buy or sell signals as it approaches key support and resistance levels.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: $3,268, $3,200, $3,150

• Daily Resistance Levels: $3,438, $3,500, $3,600

• 4-Hour Support Levels: $3,300, $3,250, $3,220

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: $3,380, $3,400, $3,420
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: $3,345

  • EMA 100: $3,325

  • EMA 200: $3,300

  • EMA 400: $3,250
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: $3,355

  • EMA 100: $3,340

  • EMA 200: $3,325

  • EMA 400: $3,300
    

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot Point: $3,360

• Resistance Levels: $3,380, $3,400

• Support Levels: $3,340, $3,320
  

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot Point: $3,350

• Resistance Levels: $3,370, $3,390

• Support Levels: $3,330, $3,310
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6% Level: $3,378

• 38.2% Level: $3,360

• 50% Level: $3,353

• 61.8% Level: $3,340
  

Fundamental Analysis and USD News

As we look ahead, it's crucial to consider the broader economic environment that influences the gold market. Upcoming USD news events can significantly impact market sentiment and price movements.

Important Upcoming USD News:

• Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report: Scheduled for release this month, the NFP report will provide insights into employment trends in the U.S. A strong report could lead to a stronger dollar, potentially putting downward pressure on gold prices.
  

• Federal Reserve Meetings: Anticipated discussions regarding interest rates could lead to volatility in the gold market. Traders should stay alert to any announcements that could affect market liquidity.
  

• Inflation Data Releases: The upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be pivotal. Higher inflation could lead to increased demand for gold as a hedge against currency devaluation.
  

These economic indicators will play a crucial role in shaping market expectations and influencing XAUUSD's price trajectory.

Conclusion

The current analysis of XAUUSD reveals critical support and resistance levels, alongside valuable insights from various technical indicators. As traders navigate this dynamic market, understanding these levels and indicators will be vital for making informed trading decisions.