🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—August 4, 2025

Introduction

As of today, the live price of Gold (XAUUSD) stands at $3360. In this analysis, we will delve into the daily and 4-hour time frames, employing various technical indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, Weekly and Daily Pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support & Resistance Levels, Order Blocks, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). This comprehensive overview aims to equip traders and investors with valuable insights to navigate the Gold market effectively.

Market Analysis

Current Price Overview

The current market price of Gold at $3360 is situated between a recent swing high of $3439 and a swing low of $3268. This range provides a crucial context for analyzing market behavior and potential trading opportunities.

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • $3268 (Swing Low)

  • $3310 (Recent Low)

  • $3330 (Previous Support)
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • $3439 (Swing High)

  • $3400 (Psychological Level)

  • $3380 (Recent High)
    

4-Hour Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • $3340 (Short-term Support)

  • $3320 (Minor Support)

  • $3300 (Key Support)
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • $3375 (Resistance Zone)

  • $3390 (Short-term Resistance)

  • $3410 (Previous High)
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the recent swing high of $3439 and swing low of $3268, the Fibonacci Retracement levels can be identified as follows:

• 23.6% Level: $3352

• 38.2% Level: $3315

• 50% Level: $3353

• 61.8% Level: $3385
  

These levels provide potential reversal points that traders can monitor for price action.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: $3340

• EMA 100: $3325

• EMA 200: $3300

• EMA 400: $3280
  

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: $3355

• EMA 100: $3340

• EMA 200: $3320

• EMA 400: $3305
  

The EMAs indicate the trend direction and potential support/resistance levels. The 50 EMA is particularly significant as it often acts as a dynamic support or resistance level.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis reveals potential divergences. Currently, if the price makes a new high at $3439, but the RSI does not follow suit, this could indicate weakening momentum, suggesting a potential reversal or correction.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling has occurred, indicating potential future support or resistance. In the current analysis:

• Bullish Order Block: Around $3310, where buyers previously stepped in.

• Bearish Order Block: Around $3400, where selling pressure was evident.
  

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is another vital indicator. Currently, the MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum. However, traders should watch for any crossovers that could signal a shift in momentum.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: $3268, $3310, $3330

• Daily Resistance Levels: $3439, $3400, $3380

• 4-Hour Support Levels: $3340, $3320, $3300

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: $3375, $3390, $3410
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: $3340

  • EMA 100: $3325

  • EMA 200: $3300

  • EMA 400: $3280
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: $3355

  • EMA 100: $3340

  • EMA 200: $3320

  • EMA 400: $3305
    

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot Point: $3360

• Resistance Levels: $3375, $3390

• Support Levels: $3340, $3320
  

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot Point: $3350

• Resistance Levels: $3365, $3380

• Support Levels: $3340, $3325
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6% Level: $3352

• 38.2% Level: $3315

• 50% Level: $3353

• 61.8% Level: $3385
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

The Gold market is significantly influenced by the performance of the US Dollar (USD). Upcoming economic indicators and news releases can have a profound impact on Gold prices.

Important Upcoming USD News:

1. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): Scheduled for August 8, 2025, this report provides insights into employment trends and can influence interest rate expectations.

2. Consumer Price Index (CPI): Set for release on August 10, 2025, the CPI report measures inflation and can affect the USD's strength and consequently Gold prices.

3. Federal Reserve Meeting: On August 15, 2025, any announcements regarding interest rate changes or monetary policy adjustments will be crucial for market sentiment.
   

These economic indicators are vital for traders to monitor, as they can lead to increased volatility in the Gold market, impacting both short-term and long-term trading strategies.

Conclusion

In summary, the XAUUSD market is currently navigating through critical levels of support and resistance, with various technical indicators providing insights into potential price movements. Traders should remain vigilant, especially with upcoming USD news that could significantly influence the Gold market. By utilizing the outlined indicators and analysis, traders can make informed decisions in their trading strategies.