🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis — August 28, 2025

Introduction

As of today, the gold market (XAUUSD) is trading at 3390 USD. This analysis will delve into the daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing various technical indicators including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). By examining support and resistance levels, order blocks, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), traders can gain valuable insights into potential market movements.

Market Overview

Current Price Action

The current price of gold at 3390 USD reflects a dynamic market influenced by multiple factors, including geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and changes in monetary policy. Understanding the technical landscape is crucial for identifying potential trading opportunities.

Swing High and Low

• Swing High: 3409 USD

• Swing Low: 3311 USD
  

These levels will serve as critical reference points in our analysis.

Technical Indicators Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Support: 3350 USD

  • 2nd Support: 3320 USD

  • 3rd Support: 3300 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Resistance: 3400 USD

  • 2nd Resistance: 3420 USD

  • 3rd Resistance: 3450 USD
    

These support and resistance levels are derived from historical price action and will guide traders in making informed decisions.

4-Hour Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Support: 3365 USD

  • 2nd Support: 3340 USD

  • 3rd Support: 3325 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Resistance: 3395 USD

  • 2nd Resistance: 3410 USD

  • 3rd Resistance: 3435 USD
    

The 4-hour time frame provides a more granular view, allowing traders to identify short-term trading opportunities.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using Fibonacci retracement levels based on the recent swing high and low, we can identify potential reversal points:

• Key Levels:
  

  • 23.6% Retracement: 3375 USD

  • 38.2% Retracement: 3360 USD

  • 50% Retracement: 3350 USD

  • 61.8% Retracement: 3335 USD
    

These levels are essential for identifying potential entry and exit points in the market.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: 3375 USD

• EMA 100: 3350 USD

• EMA 200: 3325 USD

• EMA 400: 3290 USD
  

The daily EMAs indicate the overall trend direction, with the price currently above the 50 EMA, suggesting a bullish sentiment.

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: 3380 USD

• EMA 100: 3360 USD

• EMA 200: 3340 USD

• EMA 400: 3310 USD
  

In the 4-hour time frame, the EMAs also reflect a bullish inclination, with the price consistently staying above the shorter-term EMAs.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 65, indicating that the market is nearing overbought territory. However, a divergence between price action and RSI signals potential reversal points:

• Bullish Divergence: Observed when the price makes lower lows while RSI makes higher lows.

• Bearish Divergence: Noted when the price makes higher highs while RSI makes lower highs.
  

Traders should watch for these divergences to anticipate potential price corrections.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are significant areas where institutional buying or selling has occurred. In the current market:

• Bullish Order Block: Located around 3350 USD, where strong buying interest was noted.

• Bearish Order Block: Found near 3400 USD, indicating potential selling pressure.

Understanding these zones can help traders align their strategies with institutional flows.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover, with the MACD line above the signal line. This indicates upward momentum in the market. Key observations include:

• MACD Histogram: Positive, suggesting strength in the bullish trend.

• Signal Line: Close to the MACD line, indicating potential for further upward movement.
  

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: 3350 USD, 3320 USD, 3300 USD

• Daily Resistance Levels: 3400 USD, 3420 USD, 3450 USD

• 4-Hour Support Levels: 3365 USD, 3340 USD, 3325 USD

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: 3395 USD, 3410 USD, 3435 USD
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: 3375 USD

• EMA 100: 3350 USD

• EMA 200: 3325 USD

• EMA 400: 3290 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: 3380 USD

• EMA 100: 3360 USD

• EMA 200: 3340 USD

• EMA 400: 3310 USD
  

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot Point: 3380 USD

• Weekly Resistance Levels: 3400 USD, 3420 USD

• Weekly Support Levels: 3360 USD, 3340 USD
  

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot Point: 3385 USD

• Daily Resistance Levels: 3405 USD, 3425 USD

• Daily Support Levels: 3365 USD, 3345 USD
  

Conclusion

In conclusion, the current market for XAUUSD at 3390 USD presents various trading opportunities based on technical indicators. Understanding support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, EMAs, RSI divergences, order blocks, and MACD can help traders make informed decisions. By closely monitoring these indicators, traders can navigate the gold market effectively and capitalize on potential price movements.