🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—August 21, 2025

Introduction

The gold market, represented by XAUUSD, is a focal point for traders seeking to navigate the complexities of global finance. As of today, the live price of gold stands at 3338 USD. This analysis will delve into the daily and 4-hour time frames, employing a range of technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, and more. By understanding these elements, traders can make informed decisions based on current market conditions.

Comprehensive Market Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• Support Level 1: 3300 USD

• Support Level 2: 3280 USD

• Resistance Level 1: 3350 USD

• Resistance Level 2: 3400 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• Support Level 1: 3320 USD

• Support Level 2: 3305 USD

• Resistance Level 1: 3345 USD

• Resistance Level 2: 3365 USD
  

Support and resistance levels are critical for identifying potential entry and exit points. The daily support levels indicate areas where buying pressure may emerge, while resistance levels highlight potential selling zones.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the daily swing high of 3409 USD and swing low of 3268 USD, the Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:

• 23.6% Level: 3315 USD

• 38.2% Level: 3340 USD

• 50% Level: 3338 USD

• 61.8% Level: 3355 USD
  

These levels serve as potential reversal points, allowing traders to identify areas of interest for both buying and selling.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 3315 USD

• EMA 100: 3290 USD

• EMA 200: 3275 USD

• EMA 400: 3250 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 3325 USD

• EMA 100: 3310 USD

• EMA 200: 3300 USD

• EMA 400: 3285 USD
  

The EMA provides insight into the trend direction. The daily EMAs indicate a bullish trend, with prices above the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs, while the 4-hour EMAs suggest short-term fluctuations that traders should monitor closely.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing a divergence on the daily time frame. This suggests that while prices are moving upward, the momentum may be weakening. Traders should be cautious as this can indicate a potential reversal or pullback.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling has occurred. On the daily time frame, a notable order block is identified around 3300 USD, which could act as a strong support level. Traders should pay attention to price action in this zone for potential buying opportunities.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is currently showing bullish momentum on the daily chart. The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating a continuation of the upward trend. However, traders should watch for any signs of divergence, which could signal a potential reversal.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: 3300 USD, 3280 USD

• Daily Resistance Levels: 3350 USD, 3400 USD

• 4-Hour Support Levels: 3320 USD, 3305 USD

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: 3345 USD, 3365 USD
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 3315 USD

  • EMA 100: 3290 USD

  • EMA 200: 3275 USD

  • EMA 400: 3250 USD
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 3325 USD

  • EMA 100: 3310 USD

  • EMA 200: 3300 USD

  • EMA 400: 3285 USD
    

Weekly and Daily Pivots

Weekly Pivots:

• Pivot Point: 3310 USD

• Resistance 1: 3350 USD

• Support 1: 3280 USD
  

Daily Pivots:

• Pivot Point: 3330 USD

• Resistance 1: 3355 USD

• Support 1: 3310 USD
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6% Level: 3315 USD

• 38.2% Level: 3340 USD

• 50% Level: 3338 USD

• 61.8% Level: 3355 USD
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

Understanding the impact of fundamental factors is crucial for trading gold. The upcoming economic calendar indicates several important USD news events that could influence the gold market. Key reports to watch include:

• Federal Reserve Meeting: Scheduled for next week, this meeting will address interest rates and monetary policy, which significantly impacts gold prices. A hawkish stance could strengthen the USD, potentially putting downward pressure on gold.
  

• Consumer Price Index (CPI) Release: Set for the end of the month, the CPI report will provide insights into inflation. High inflation typically drives demand for gold as a hedge, while lower-than-expected inflation could weaken gold's appeal.
  

• Jobless Claims Data: Weekly jobless claims will be released, offering a glimpse into the labor market's health. Strong employment data may bolster the USD, impacting gold prices negatively.
  

Conclusion

In conclusion, the XAUUSD market presents a complex yet promising landscape for traders. By utilizing a combination of technical indicators such as support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement, EMAs, RSI divergence, order blocks, and MACD, traders can develop a comprehensive strategy to navigate the market effectively. Additionally, staying informed about upcoming USD news events will further enhance trading decisions, allowing for a balanced approach to risk and reward.