🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—August 12, 2025

Market Analysis

Current Market Overview

As of today, the live price of gold (XAUUSD) stands at $3355 💰. This analysis delves into the daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing various technical indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and more. By examining these elements, traders can gain valuable insights into market dynamics and potential trading opportunities.

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support: $3300

  • Second Support: $3250

  • Third Support: $3200

    
    

• Resistance Levels:

  
  

  • First Resistance: $3400

  • Second Resistance: $3450

  • Third Resistance: $3500

    
    

4-Hour Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support: $3340

  • Second Support: $3320

  • Third Support: $3300
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance: $3360

  • Second Resistance: $3380

  • Third Resistance: $3400
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the recent swing high of $3438 and swing low of $3268, we can identify key Fibonacci Retracement levels:

• 23.6% Retracement: $3360

• 38.2% Retracement: $3310

• 61.8% Retracement: $3280
  

These levels can serve as potential reversal points or targets for traders looking to capitalize on price movements.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: $3315

• EMA 100: $3280

• EMA 200: $3245

• EMA 400: $3190
  

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: $3350

• EMA 100: $3330

• EMA 200: $3305

• EMA 400: $3280
  

The EMAs provide insight into the overall trend direction. In both time frames, the EMAs are trending upwards, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently shows a divergence on the daily time frame, suggesting that while prices are making higher highs, the RSI is not confirming this strength. This could indicate a potential reversal or correction in the near future. Traders should monitor this closely as it may signal an opportunity to enter short positions.

Order Blocks

Identifying order blocks on the daily chart reveals significant buying activity around the $3300 level, which aligns with our support levels. This area may act as a strong support zone, making it a critical point for traders to watch for potential price rebounds.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows a bullish crossover on both the daily and 4-hour time frames. This suggests that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers, which could lead to further upward movement in gold prices. Traders should look for confirmation from other indicators before making trading decisions.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support: $3300, $3250, $3200

• Daily Resistance: $3400, $3450, $3500

• 4-Hour Support: $3340, $3320, $3300

• 4-Hour Resistance: $3360, $3380, $3400
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: $3315

• EMA 100: $3280

• EMA 200: $3245

• EMA 400: $3190
  

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: $3350

• EMA 100: $3330

• EMA 200: $3305

• EMA 400: $3280
  

Weekly and Daily Pivots

• Weekly Pivots:
  

  • Pivot Point: $3350

  • Support 1: $3300

  • Resistance 1: $3400
    

• Daily Pivots:
  

  • Pivot Point: $3355

  • Support 1: $3340

  • Resistance 1: $3360
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6%: $3360

• 38.2%: $3310

• 61.8%: $3280
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

In addition to technical analysis, it’s crucial to consider the fundamental factors that could impact the gold market. Upcoming USD news events this week include:

• Consumer Price Index (CPI): A key indicator of inflation that significantly influences gold prices. Higher-than-expected inflation data could lead to increased demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
  

• Federal Reserve Meeting: Any announcements regarding interest rate changes or monetary policy adjustments could directly affect the USD and, in turn, the gold market.
  

Traders should stay informed about these developments, as they can create volatility and present trading opportunities in the XAUUSD market.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the current analysis of the XAUUSD market reveals a dynamic landscape shaped by both technical indicators and fundamental factors. As gold prices hover around $3355 💰, the identified support and resistance levels, along with Fibonacci Retracement levels, provide critical insights for traders. The EMAs indicate a bullish trend, while the RSI divergence suggests potential caution for upcoming price movements.