🟡 XAUUSD Daily Market Analysis—August 11, 2025

Introduction

As the gold market continues to experience fluctuations, understanding the dynamics of XAUUSD is crucial for traders and investors. Currently priced at 3,368 USD 📈, gold remains a pivotal asset in the financial landscape. This analysis will delve into the daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing key indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Weekly and Daily Pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support and Resistance Levels, Order Blocks, and MACD. By examining these elements, traders can make informed decisions in navigating the complexities of the gold market.

Market Analysis Overview

Current Market Price: 3,368 USD

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • 3,268 (Recent Swing Low)

  • 3,300

  • 3,350
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 3,438 (Recent Swing High)

  • 3,400

  • 3,380
    

4-Hour Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • 3,300

  • 3,280

  • 3,250
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 3,380

  • 3,400

  • 3,420
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Fibonacci retracement levels are essential for identifying potential reversal points based on the recent swing high of 3,438 and swing low of 3,268. The key Fibonacci levels are:

• 23.6% Level: 3,390

• 38.2% Level: 3,370

• 50% Level: 3,353

• 61.8% Level: 3,335
  

These levels indicate potential areas where price action may find support or resistance as it retraces.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily EMA Levels:

• EMA 50: 3,340

• EMA 100: 3,325

• EMA 200: 3,310

• EMA 400: 3,290
  

4-Hour EMA Levels:

• EMA 50: 3,360

• EMA 100: 3,350

• EMA 200: 3,330

• EMA 400: 3,310
  

The EMAs provide insights into the prevailing trend and help traders identify entry and exit points.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that indicates overbought or oversold conditions. Currently, we observe a bearish divergence, where the price makes higher highs while the RSI shows lower highs. This divergence suggests a potential reversal in the market trend, signaling caution for bullish positions.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are critical areas where significant buying or selling has occurred, often leading to price reversals. In this analysis, potential order blocks are identified near the support levels of 3,300 and 3,350. These zones may act as crucial areas for price action, providing traders with opportunities to enter positions.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a vital tool for traders, providing insights into momentum and trend direction. Currently, the MACD line is below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum. Traders should monitor the MACD closely as it interacts with key support and resistance levels.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: 3,268, 3,300, 3,350

• Daily Resistance Levels: 3,438, 3,400, 3,380

• 4-Hour Support Levels: 3,300, 3,280, 3,250

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: 3,380, 3,400, 3,420
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 3,340

  • EMA 100: 3,325

  • EMA 200: 3,310

  • EMA 400: 3,290
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 3,360

  • EMA 100: 3,350

  • EMA 200: 3,330

  • EMA 400: 3,310
    

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot Point: 3,340

• Resistance Levels: 3,400, 3,420

• Support Levels: 3,290, 3,260
  

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot Point: 3,368

• Resistance Levels: 3,380, 3,390

• Support Levels: 3,340, 3,320
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6% Level: 3,390

• 38.2% Level: 3,370

• 50% Level: 3,353

• 61.8% Level: 3,335
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

Understanding the broader economic context is crucial for traders in the XAUUSD market. Upcoming USD news events can significantly impact gold prices and market sentiment.

Important Upcoming USD News:

• Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report: Scheduled for release later this month, the CPI report will provide insights into inflation trends in the U.S. A higher-than-expected CPI could lead to a stronger dollar, potentially putting downward pressure on gold prices.
  

• Federal Reserve Meetings: Anticipated discussions regarding interest rates will be pivotal. Any changes or hints at future policies could influence the strength of the dollar and, consequently, the XAUUSD's performance.
  

• Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report: The upcoming NFP report will be crucial for assessing employment trends in the U.S. A strong report could bolster the dollar, impacting gold demand.
  

These economic indicators will shape market expectations and influence the XAUUSD's price trajectory.

Conclusion

This detailed analysis of the XAUUSD market highlights critical support and resistance levels, alongside insights from various technical indicators. As traders navigate this volatile market, understanding these levels and indicators is essential for making informed trading decisions.