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USDJPY 14th March 2025 Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels šŸ“Š

  • Neom
  • Mar 14
  • 2 min read

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP):Ā 148.780


Critical Price Zones

  • Above DCMP (Resistance):

    • Immediate Resistance: 148.825 🚩

    • Major Resistance: 149.910 🚩

  • Below DCMP (Support):

    • Immediate Support: 147.498 🚩

    • Major Support: 146.905 🚩

Swing Levels (Daily/4H Timeframe):

  • Swing High: 151.306

  • Swing Low: 148.562

Technical Analysis Snapshot šŸ”

  1. Fibonacci Levels:

    • 61.8% retracement at 148.250 (key intraday buy zone).

    • 38.2% extension resistance at 149.910.

  2. RSI Divergence:

    • RSI (51) neutral with bearish divergence near 149.910 resistance.

  3. MACD Crossover:

    • Bullish crossover forming near 147.498 support.

Intraday Trade Setups ⚔

Trade Setup 1: Intraday Buy

  • Entry Price: 148.250 šŸ“ (61.8% Fib + Volume-Driven Support)

  • Stop Loss: 147.271 šŸ”“ (Below Key Support)

  • Take Profit 1: 148.780 🟢 (DCMP Retest)

  • Take Profit 2: 149.910 🟢 (Major Resistance)


    Rationale: Confluence of Fib retracement and institutional liquidity at 148.250. MACD momentum supports upside potential.


Trade Setup 2: Intraday Sell

  • Entry Price: 149.910 šŸ“ (38.2% Fib + Resistance Cluster)

  • Stop Loss: 150.428 šŸ”“ (Above Swing High)

  • Take Profit 1: 148.562 🟢 (Swing Low)

  • Take Profit 2: 147.498 🟢 (Immediate Support)


    Rationale: Strong resistance at 149.910 (Fib + swing high alignment). Bearish RSI divergence signals profit-taking pressure.



Key Levels Summary šŸ“Œ

Parameter

Level

Significance

DCMP

148.780

Current Market Reference

Immediate Resistance

148.825

Fib 38.2% + Short-Term High

Major Resistance

149.910

Institutional Sell Zone

Immediate Support

147.498

Fib 50% & Volume Floor

Major Support

146.905

Liquidity Pool

Strategic Outlook šŸ”­

USDJPY hovers near DCMP (148.780) with neutral bias, driven by:

  • Balanced technical signals: Bullish MACD at 147.498 vs. resistance at 149.910.

  • Key zones: 148.250–147.498 (buy-side liquidity) and 148.825–149.910 (sell-side pressure).


Action Triggers:

  • Bullish Breakout: Sustained close above 148.825 targets 149.910.

  • Bearish Rejection: Breakdown below 147.498 opens path to 146.905.


āš ļø Risk Note:Ā Monitor BoJ intervention rhetoric and US CPI data for volatility spikes.

šŸ”” Confirm trades with candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, shooting star) at key levels.

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