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 💹 USDJPY 10th March 2025 Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels

  • Neom
  • Mar 10
  • 2 min read

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 147.602


Below DCMP: Support Zones | Above DCMP: Resistance Zones


📊 Critical Price Levels


Immediate Resistance: 148.209 → 148.761 (Key Barrier)

Major Resistance Cluster: 148.989 (Multi-Timeframe Ceiling)


Immediate Support: 147.245 → 147.094 (Demand Zone)

Swing High: 151.306 | Swing Low: 148.562


🔍 Technical Breakdown


Fibonacci Confluence:


61.8% retracement aligns with 147.094, marking a strong bounce zone.

38.2% extension at 148.761 acts as a profit-taking target for bears.


Momentum Indicators:


RSI: Neutral at 52, showing no divergence.

MACD: Bearish histogram contraction near the baseline, signaling indecision.


Price Structure:


DCMP (147.602) trades above immediate support (147.245) but below resistance (148.209).

Break above 148.761 could trigger momentum toward 148.989.


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💡 Intraday Trade Opportunities


🟢 Intraday Buy Setup


Entry: 147.094 (Demand Zone) 🎯

Stop Loss: 146.947 (Lower Support) ⛔

Take Profit 1: 147.727 (Mid-Level) ✅

Take Profit 2: 148.209 (Resistance) ✅


Rationale:


Institutional bid clusters detected near 147.094 on order flow data.

Bullish hidden divergence observed on 4H volume profile.


🔴 Intraday Sell Setup


Entry: 148.761 (Key Barrier) 🎯

Stop Loss: 148.989 (Ceiling) ⛔

Take Profit 1: 147.727 (Mid-Level) ✅

Take Profit 2: 147.245 (Support) ✅


Rationale:


Liquidity pool concentration at 148.761 aligns with leveraged short positions.

Bearish order block coincides with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.


⚠️ Risk Management Protocol


Position sizing: ≤1.2% account exposure per trade.

Adjust stop loss to breakeven upon reaching TP1.

Avoid trading during Tokyo-London session overlap (00:00-02:00 UTC).


📉 Macro Catalysts


USDJPY balances BOJ policy uncertainty against Fed rate cut expectations. Sustained holds above 148.761 may target 148.989, while failure at 147.094 could test 146.947. Monitor Japan Q4 GDP revisions (March 12).


Note: Key resistance at 148.989 aligns with options gamma neutrality zone.


This analysis integrates interbank liquidity patterns with retail trader positioning. Always verify with real-time tick volume data. 🚨

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