💷 GBPUSD Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – April 15, 2025

Current Market Price:

1.32032

🗝️ Critical Price Zones

Below Price (Demand Cluster):

Immediate Support: 1.31476

Strategic Floor: 1.30135

Swing Low: 1.28710

Above Price (Supply Cluster):

First Resistance: 1.32508

Key Barrier: 1.32891

Swing High: 1.34178

📊 Technical Drivers

1. Fibonacci Confluence

Bull Scenario: 1.31476 aligns with 61.8% retracement of the rally from 1.28710→1.34178.

Bear Scenario: 1.32508 matches 127% extension of the recent consolidation range.

2. Momentum Indicators

RSI: Bearish divergence detected on 4H chart (price peaks vs. declining momentum).

MACD: Histogram shows weakening bullish momentum near 1.32032.

💡 Intraday Trade Setups

Long Opportunity 🟢 (Intraday Buy)

Entry: 1.31476 📍

Stop Loss: 1.30135 🛑

Take Profit 1: 1.32365 🎯

Take Profit 2: 1.32891 🚀

Rationale:

Cluster of institutional buy orders observed at 1.31476 (50% Fib zone).

Bullish hammer candlestick pattern confirmed on 1H timeframe.

Short Opportunity 🔴 (Intraday Sell)

Entry: 1.32508 📍

Stop Loss: 1.32891 🛑

Take Profit 1: 1.31513 🎯

Take Profit 2: 1.30987 🚀

Rationale:

Resistance confluence at 1.32508–1.32891 aligns with options expiry gamma wall.

Bearish volume spike during European session retests.

📉 Risk Management Protocol

Trail stops to entry price after TP1 achievement.

Monitor UK inflation data (08:30 GMT) for GBP volatility catalysts.

🔍 Market Perspective

GBPUSD consolidates between 1.31476–1.32508. Prioritize fade strategies at range boundaries with 1:2.5 risk-reward ratios. A decisive break above 1.32891 or below 1.30135 would signal trend continuation.

🔑 Key Takeaways:

Pivotal battle at 1.31476–1.32508 defines short-term bias

RSI divergence warns of potential trend exhaustion

Macro catalysts (BoE speech/US retail sales) may amplify moves