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 🌍💹 EURUSD 4th March 2025 Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels

  • Neom
  • Mar 4
  • 1 min read

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP):


1.04780


Market Structure:


Below Resistance Cluster (1.04964-1.05617)

Above Support Zone (1.03505-1.04561)


🎯 Critical Technical Levels


Resistance (Sell Zones):


🔥 1.04964 (Immediate Ceiling) | 🔥 1.05213 (Strong Barrier)


Support (Buy Zones):


🛡️ 1.04561 (Key Floor) | 🛡️ 1.03505 (Major Defense)


Swing Levels:


Daily Swing High: 1.05144

4H Swing Low: 1.03600


🔍 Technical Drivers


Fibonacci Framework:


50% Retracement at 1.04561 aligns with weekly pivot

61.8% Extension near 1.04964 resistance


Momentum Indicators:


RSI: Neutral at 48 (no divergence detected)

MACD: Bearish histogram fading on 4H chart


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💡 Intraday Trade Opportunities


1️⃣ Buy Setup: Support Reaction Play


Entry: 🎯 1.04561 (Confluence: Weekly Pivot + Fib 50%)

Stop Loss: 🚫 1.04157 (Below Support Cluster)


Profit Targets:


✅ TP1: 1.04964 (Immediate Resistance)

✅ TP2: 1.05144 (Daily Swing High)


2️⃣ Sell Setup: Resistance Test Strategy


Entry: 🎯 1.04964 (Confluence: Weekly R1 + Fib 61.8%)

Stop Loss: 🚫 1.05316 (Above R2 Guardrail)


Profit Targets:


✅ TP1: 1.04561 (Weekly Pivot)

✅ TP2: 1.04162 (Support Zone)


📉 Market Sentiment Insight


Price squeezed between 1.04561-1.04964 range. Break above 1.04964 could target 1.05144 swing high, while failure at 1.04561 may trigger slide toward 1.04157 support.


⚠️ Risk Advisory


ECB Policy Decision Impact (March 7): Expect volatility surge


Position Sizing: Max 2% risk per trade


Trail Stops: Move to breakeven at TP1


Trigger Requirement: Confirm 4H candle close beyond entry levels before execution.

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