💹 DXY Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels – April 15, 2025

Current Market Price (DCMP):

99.752

🗝️ Critical Price Zones

Below Price (Support):

Immediate Demand: 99.050 🔻

Strategic Floor: 97.982 ⚠️

Swing Low: 98.715 📉 (4H timeframe)

Above Price (Resistance):

First Supply: 100.779 🔺

Key Barrier: 105.305 ⛔

Swing High: 107.661 📈 (Daily timeframe)

📊 Technical Drivers

1. Fibonacci Confluence

Bull Scenario: 99.050 aligns with 61.8% retracement of the rally from 98.715→107.661.

Bear Scenario: 100.779 matches 127% extension of the recent consolidation phase.

2. Momentum Indicators

RSI: Hidden bullish divergence on 4H chart (higher lows vs. price retracement).

MACD: Bullish crossover at 99.305 signals potential upward momentum.

💡 Intraday Trade Setups

Long Opportunity 🟢 (Intraday Buy)

Entry: 99.050 📍

Stop Loss: 97.982 🛑

Take Profit 1: 99.752 🎯

Take Profit 2: 100.779 🚀

Rationale:

Institutional bid cluster at 99.050 (78.6% Fib zone).

Morning star candlestick pattern confirmed on 1H chart.

Short Opportunity 🔴 (Intraday Sell)

Entry: 100.779 📍

Stop Loss: 105.305 🛑

Take Profit 1: 99.752 🎯

Take Profit 2: 99.050 🚀

Rationale:

Resistance confluence at 100.779–105.305 aligns with options-led hedging pressure.

Bearish divergence between price and volume oscillator.

📉 Risk Management Protocol

Use 70% position sizing for long trades below 99.050.

Monitor USD liquidity conditions during NY session open (08:30 EST).

🔍 Market Perspective

DXY consolidates between 99.050–100.779. Focus on reversal patterns at these boundaries with 1:3 risk-reward ratios. A sustained break above 105.305 or below 97.982 would confirm directional bias.

🔑 Key Takeaways:

Pivotal battle at 99.050–100.779 dictates near-term trajectory

Hidden RSI divergence suggests underlying strength

Fed policy expectations and geopolitical risks amplify volatility