🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis - October 7, 2025

Introduction

In today’s analysis, we focus on the current state of the Bitcoin market (BTCUSD), which is trading at a live price of 124,490 USD. This detailed analysis will utilize various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Weekly and Daily Pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support and Resistance Levels, Order Blocks, and MACD, to provide a comprehensive overview of market dynamics on both daily and 4-hour timeframes.

Market Overview

Bitcoin continues to be a volatile asset, attracting traders and investors alike. Its price movements are influenced by various factors, including market sentiment, economic data, and geopolitical events. In this analysis, we will explore critical price levels and indicators to help traders navigate the current market landscape effectively.

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • Level 1: 117,980 (Swing High)

  • Level 2: 115,000

  • Level 3: 110,000
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • Level 1: 130,000

  • Level 2: 128,000

  • Level 3: 125,000
    

4-Hour Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • Level 1: 122,000

  • Level 2: 120,000

  • Level 3: 118,000
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • Level 1: 126,000

  • Level 2: 128,000

  • Level 3: 130,000
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Utilizing the Fibonacci retracement tool based on the daily swing high of 117,980 and the swing low of 108,645, we identify the following key levels:

• 23.6% Retracement: 120,000

• 38.2% Retracement: 122,000

• 50% Retracement: 124,000

• 61.8% Retracement: 126,000

• 76.4% Retracement: 128,000
  

These levels serve as potential support and resistance zones, guiding traders in their decision-making processes.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Timeframe

• EMA 50: 121,500

• EMA 100: 119,800

• EMA 200: 116,300

• EMA 400: 113,000
  

The EMAs indicate the overall trend direction. A bullish trend is suggested when shorter EMAs (50 and 100) are above longer EMAs (200 and 400).

4-Hour Timeframe

• EMA 50: 123,000

• EMA 100: 121,000

• EMA 200: 119,000

• EMA 400: 117,000
  

These EMA levels provide insight into shorter-term trends and potential reversal points.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently shows a divergence pattern. As the price approaches resistance levels, the RSI fails to make new highs, indicating a potential bearish reversal. Traders should watch for confirmation through price action to validate this divergence.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling has occurred, leading to price reversals. On the daily timeframe, we identify the following order blocks:

• Bullish Order Block: 115,000 - 117,000

• Bearish Order Block: 125,000 - 127,000
  

These order blocks can serve as potential entry and exit points for traders looking to capitalize on market movements.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently in a bullish crossover on the daily timeframe, suggesting upward momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as the MACD histogram shows signs of weakening momentum, which could indicate a potential pullback.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels:
  

  1. 117,980

  2. 115,000

  3. 110,000
     

• Daily Resistance Levels:
  

  1. 130,000

  2. 128,000

  3. 125,000
     

• 4-Hour Support Levels:
  

  1. 122,000

  2. 120,000

  3. 118,000
     

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels:
  

  1. 126,000

  2. 128,000

  3. 130,000
     

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

Daily EMA Levels:

• EMA 50: 121,500

• EMA 100: 119,800

• EMA 200: 116,300

• EMA 400: 113,000
  

4-Hour EMA Levels:

• EMA 50: 123,000

• EMA 100: 121,000

• EMA 200: 119,000

• EMA 400: 117,000
  

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot 1: 122,000

• Weekly Pivot 2: 124,000

• Weekly Pivot 3: 126,000
  

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot 1: 123,000

• Daily Pivot 2: 124,000

• Daily Pivot 3: 126,000
  

Conclusion

In conclusion, the BTCUSD market is presenting a complex landscape characterized by significant support and resistance levels, key Fibonacci retracement zones, and various technical indicators that suggest potential price movements. Traders should consider these insights and levels while formulating their strategies.