🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis – October 1, 2025

Introduction

As we analyze the current state of the BTCUSD market, priced at 114,413 USD, it is essential to leverage various technical indicators to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential price movements. This detailed analysis will encompass both daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing tools such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Weekly and Daily Pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support & Resistance Levels, Order Blocks, and MACD.

Understanding these indicators will aid traders in making informed decisions, identifying potential entry and exit points, and navigating the dynamic cryptocurrency landscape effectively.

Current Market Overview

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to be a focal point for investors and traders alike, with its price fluctuations influenced by numerous factors, including market sentiment, regulatory news, and macroeconomic trends. In this analysis, we will focus on the following key indicators to derive actionable insights:

Support & Resistance Levels

Support and resistance levels are fundamental concepts in technical analysis, providing critical insights into price behavior. Here’s a breakdown of the support and resistance levels for both the daily and 4-hour time frames.

Daily Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support: 108,645 (Swing Low)

  • Second Support: 110,000 (Psychological Level)
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance: 117,980 (Swing High)

  • Second Resistance: 115,000 (Psychological Level)
    

4-Hour Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support: 112,000

  • Second Support: 111,500
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance: 115,500

  • Second Resistance: 116,500
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Fibonacci retracement levels are valuable for identifying potential reversal points based on the recent price swings. Using the swing high of 117,980 and swing low of 108,645, the key Fibonacci levels are as follows:

• 23.6% Level: 111,800

• 38.2% Level: 112,800

• 50% Level: 113,315

• 61.8% Level: 114,000
  

These levels can serve as crucial points for traders to watch for potential price reversals or continuations.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a useful indicator for identifying trends and smoothing out price data. Below are the EMA levels for both the daily and 4-hour time frames based on the current market price.

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: 113,500

• EMA 100: 112,500

• EMA 200: 111,000

• EMA 400: 109,000
  

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: 114,200

• EMA 100: 113,800

• EMA 200: 113,000

• EMA 400: 112,500
  

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Currently, we observe a bearish divergence in the RSI, indicating that while the price is making higher highs, the RSI is showing lower highs. This divergence suggests potential weakening of bullish momentum, warranting caution for long positions.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling has occurred, often indicating where institutional traders are active. In the current market:

• Bullish Order Block: 110,000 - 111,000

• Bearish Order Block: 116,000 - 117,000
  

Traders should consider these zones for potential reversals or trend continuations.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is essential for identifying shifts in momentum. Currently, the MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum. However, traders should watch for potential crossovers, which could signal a change in market direction.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • 108,645 (Swing Low)

  • 110,000 (Psychological Level)
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 117,980 (Swing High)

  • 115,000 (Psychological Level)
    

4-Hour Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • 112,000

  • 111,500
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 115,500

  • 116,500
    

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: 113,500

• EMA 100: 112,500

• EMA 200: 111,000

• EMA 400: 109,000
  

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: 114,200

• EMA 100: 113,800

• EMA 200: 113,000

• EMA 400: 112,500
  

Weekly Pivots

• Pivot Point: 113,500

• Resistance 1: 115,000

• Support 1: 112,000
  

Daily Pivots

• Pivot Point: 114,000

• Resistance 1: 115,500

• Support 1: 113,000
  

Conclusion

In conclusion, the BTCUSD market presents a myriad of trading opportunities based on the analysis of key technical indicators. With the current price at 114,413 USD, traders should remain vigilant, utilizing support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement, EMA, RSI divergence, order blocks, and MACD for informed decision-making. As always, ensure to manage risk effectively while navigating this dynamic market.