🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—November 12, 2025

Introduction

The Bitcoin market remains a focal point for traders and investors, especially with the current live price of 103,127 USD for BTCUSD. This analysis will delve into the daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Weekly and Daily Pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support & Resistance Levels, Order Blocks, and MACD.

By understanding these indicators, traders can make informed decisions in the dynamic Bitcoin market.

Market Overview

Current Price:

103,127 USD

Swing High & Low

• Swing High: 116,396 USD

• Swing Low: 98,880 USD
  

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • R1: 106,000 USD

  • R2: 108,500 USD

  • R3: 110,000 USD
    

• Support Levels:
  

  • S1: 102,000 USD

  • S2: 100,500 USD

  • S3: 99,000 USD
    

4-Hour Time Frame

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • R1: 104,500 USD

  • R2: 105,500 USD

  • R3: 107,000 USD
    

• Support Levels:
  

  • S1: 102,500 USD

  • S2: 101,500 USD

  • S3: 100,000 USD
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the swing high of 116,396 USD and swing low of 98,880 USD, we can identify key Fibonacci retracement levels that might influence trading decisions:

• 23.6% Level: 103,500 USD

• 38.2% Level: 106,000 USD

• 50% Level: 109,000 USD

• 61.8% Level: 111,000 USD
  

These levels are crucial as they often act as potential reversal points in the market.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: 102,500 USD

• EMA 100: 101,000 USD

• EMA 200: 99,500 USD

• EMA 400: 98,000 USD
  

The EMAs on the daily time frame indicate a bullish trend as the current price is above the 50 EMA, suggesting potential upward movement.

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: 103,000 USD

• EMA 100: 102,000 USD

• EMA 200: 100,500 USD

• EMA 400: 99,500 USD
  

The 4-hour EMAs also support the bullish outlook, with the price consistently above the shorter-term EMAs.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both the daily and 4-hour time frames indicates potential divergence. Currently, the RSI is showing overbought conditions, suggesting that a correction may be imminent if the price fails to break through the resistance levels.

• Daily RSI: 72 (Overbought)
  

• 4-Hour RSI: 68 (Approaching Overbought)
  

Order Blocks

Order blocks on the daily and 4-hour time frames highlight areas where institutional buying or selling has occurred. Key order blocks to watch include:

• Daily Order Block: 100,000-102,500 USD
  

• 4-Hour Order Block: 102,000-103,000 USD
  

These zones can act as significant support or resistance levels, influencing price action.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows bullish momentum on the daily time frame, with the MACD line above the signal line. However, caution is advised as the histogram is starting to flatten, indicating potential weakening momentum.

• Daily MACD: Bullish
  

• 4-Hour MACD: Also bullish but showing signs of convergence.
  

  

Summary of Key Levels

Daily Support and Resistance

• Resistance:
  

  • 106,000 USD

  • 108,500 USD

  • 110,000 USD
    

• Support:
  

  • 102,000 USD

  • 100,500 USD

  • 99,000 USD
    

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: 102,500 USD

• EMA 100: 101,000 USD

• EMA 200: 99,500 USD

• EMA 400: 98,000 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: 103,000 USD

• EMA 100: 102,000 USD

• EMA 200: 100,500 USD

• EMA 400: 99,500 USD
  

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot Point: 102,500 USD
  

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 106,000 USD

  • 108,000 USD
    

• Support Levels:
  

  • 100,000 USD

  • 98,500 USD
    

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot Point: 103,000 USD
  

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 104,000 USD

  • 105,000 USD
    

• Support Levels:
  

  • 102,000 USD

  • 101,000 USD
    

Conclusion

In summary, the BTCUSD market presents a complex landscape characterized by significant support and resistance levels, key Fibonacci retracement points, and various technical indicators that suggest a bullish trend. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring the EMAs, RSI, and MACD for potential signals. The analysis indicates that while bullish momentum is present, caution is warranted due to overbought conditions and potential corrections.