🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—June 25, 2025

Introduction

In today's analysis, we will delve into the current state of the BTCUSD market, focusing on the live price of 106,395 USD. This comprehensive analysis will utilize various technical indicators, including Fibonacci retracement levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), support and resistance levels, order blocks, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). By examining both daily and 4-hour timeframes, traders can gain a clearer understanding of potential price movements and make informed decisions.

Market Analysis Overview 🔍

Current Market Price

• BTCUSD Live Price: 106,395 USD
  

Swing High and Low

• Swing High: 110,587 USD

• Swing Low: 98,240 USD
  

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Support: 102,000 USD

  • 2nd Support: 100,000 USD

  • 3rd Support: 98,240 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Resistance: 108,000 USD

  • 2nd Resistance: 110,000 USD

  • 3rd Resistance: 110,587 USD
    

4-Hour Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Support: 105,000 USD

  • 2nd Support: 104,500 USD

  • 3rd Support: 103,000 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Resistance: 107,500 USD

  • 2nd Resistance: 108,500 USD

  • 3rd Resistance: 109,000 USD
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels 📉

Using the swing high of 110,587 USD and swing low of 98,240 USD, the Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:

• 23.6% Level: 103,800 USD

• 38.2% Level: 106,750 USD

• 50% Level: 104,900 USD

• 61.8% Level: 102,600 USD
  

These levels can serve as potential reversal points where traders may look for buying or selling opportunities.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) 📈

Daily Timeframe

• EMA (50): 104,500 USD

• EMA (100): 102,800 USD

• EMA (200): 100,200 USD

• EMA (400): 98,500 USD
  

4-Hour Timeframe

• EMA (50): 106,000 USD

• EMA (100): 105,500 USD

• EMA (200): 104,000 USD

• EMA (400): 102,500 USD
  

These EMAs provide insight into the prevailing market trend. A price above these EMAs indicates bullish sentiment, while a price below suggests bearish conditions.

RSI Divergence 📊

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing a divergence on the daily timeframe. While the price has been making higher highs, the RSI has not confirmed these highs, indicating potential weakness in the current bullish trend. Traders should be cautious and watch for possible reversals or corrections.

Order Blocks 📦

Order blocks are significant areas where institutional buying or selling has occurred. In the current market, we can identify a bullish order block around 102,000 USD, which coincides with one of our support levels. This area could act as a strong buying zone if tested again.

MACD Analysis 📈

The MACD indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover on the daily timeframe, suggesting that momentum may be shifting in favor of buyers. However, traders should keep an eye on the histogram for any signs of weakening momentum, which could indicate a potential reversal.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support: 102,000 USD, 100,000 USD, 98,240 USD

• Daily Resistance: 108,000 USD, 110,000 USD, 110,587 USD

• 4-Hour Support: 105,000 USD, 104,500 USD, 103,000 USD

• 4-Hour Resistance: 107,500 USD, 108,500 USD, 109,000 USD
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA (50): 104,500 USD

• Daily EMA (100): 102,800 USD

• Daily EMA (200): 100,200 USD

• Daily EMA (400): 98,500 USD
  

• 4-Hour EMA (50): 106,000 USD

• 4-Hour EMA (100): 105,500 USD

• 4-Hour EMA (200): 104,000 USD

• 4-Hour EMA (400): 102,500 USD
  

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot Point: 105,000 USD

• Weekly Resistance 1: 108,000 USD

• Weekly Support 1: 102,000 USD

  
  

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot Point: 106,000 USD

• Daily Resistance 1: 107,000 USD

• Daily Support 1: 105,500 USD
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6% Level: 103,800 USD

• 38.2% Level: 106,750 USD

• 50% Level: 104,900 USD

• 61.8% Level: 102,600 USD
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News 📅

As we look ahead, it's essential to consider the upcoming USD news that may impact the BTCUSD market. Key events to watch for include:

• New Home Sales (June 25): This report can influence market sentiment as it reflects the health of the U.S. economy. A strong report may lead to a stronger USD, potentially putting downward pressure on BTC.

• Consumer Confidence Index (June 30): A higher-than-expected consumer confidence reading could bolster the USD, affecting BTC's price negatively.

• Federal Reserve Meeting (Next week): Any signals regarding interest rate changes or economic outlook from the Fed can significantly impact the USD and, consequently, BTCUSD.
  

Traders should stay informed about these events as they can create volatility in the market, providing both opportunities and risks.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the current analysis of BTCUSD reveals several key levels and indicators that traders should consider. By understanding the support and resistance levels, EMAs, Fibonacci retracement levels, and other technical indicators, traders can make informed decisions in this dynamic market. Additionally, being aware of upcoming USD news can further enhance trading strategies. As always, maintain a disciplined approach and manage risk effectively to navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market. 🌟