🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—June 18, 2025

Introduction

Welcome to the BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis for June 18, 2025. With Bitcoin currently trading at $105,005, this analysis aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the market using various technical indicators. We will explore support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, and more. Additionally, we will discuss the impact of upcoming USD news on the Bitcoin market. This analysis is designed to equip traders and investors with the insights needed to navigate the cryptocurrency landscape effectively.

Market Analysis

Current Price Overview

• Current BTC Price: $105,005 💰

• Swing High: $110,587 📈

• Swing Low: $102,816 📉
  

Support and Resistance Levels

Daily Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • $102,816: This level corresponds to the recent swing low, indicating a potential area of buying interest. 🔒

  • $100,000: A psychological level that may attract traders looking for a bounce. 🛡️

  • $97,500: A previous support zone that could provide additional backing. ↗️
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • $110,587: The recent swing high, acting as a significant resistance level. 🚧

  • $112,000: A key level where selling pressure may emerge. ⬆️

  • $115,000: Another resistance level that traders will monitor closely. 💹
    

4-Hour Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • $104,000: A recent low that may provide immediate support. 🔽

  • $103,000: A minor support level observed in recent price action. 🔻

  • $101,500: Another level where buyers might step in. 👣
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • $106,500: A short-term resistance level to watch. 🔍

  • $108,000: A critical level aligning with daily resistance. ⚠️

  • $109,000: The next hurdle for bullish momentum. 🏆
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the swing high of $110,587 and swing low of $102,816, we can identify the following Fibonacci retracement levels:

• 23.6%: $106,163 📏

• 38.2%: $105,000 📐

• 50%: $106,202 ⚖️

• 61.8%: $107,000 📊
  

These levels can serve as potential areas of interest for traders looking to enter or exit positions based on price retracements.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Timeframe

• EMA 50: $105,250 📈

• EMA 100: $104,800 📊

• EMA 200: $103,500 📉

• EMA 400: $102,000 📉
  

The EMAs on the daily timeframe indicate a generally bullish trend, as the price is currently above the shorter-term EMAs, suggesting upward momentum.

4-Hour Timeframe

• EMA 50: $105,500 📈

• EMA 100: $105,200 📊

• EMA 200: $104,800 📉

• EMA 400: $103,600 📉
  

On the 4-hour timeframe, the price remains above the shorter-term EMAs, reinforcing the bullish sentiment in the market.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing potential bullish divergence on the 4-hour chart. While the price is making lower lows, the RSI is forming higher lows. This divergence may indicate that the selling momentum is weakening, suggesting a possible reversal or corrective rally. 🔄

Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling has taken place. On the daily timeframe, a notable order block is located around $102,000 to $102,500. This area may act as a strong support zone if the price retraces. 🏗️

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover on the daily timeframe. This suggests that the momentum may be shifting in favor of buyers, further supporting the bullish outlook for Bitcoin prices. 📈

Summary of Key Levels

Daily Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • $102,816 🔒

  • $100,000 🛡️

  • $97,500 ↗️
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • $110,587 🚧

  • $112,000 ⬆️

  • $115,000 💹
    

• Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
  

  • EMA 50: $105,250 📈

  • EMA 100: $104,800 📊

  • EMA 200: $103,500 📉

  • EMA 400: $102,000 📉
    

4-Hour Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • $104,000 🔽

  • $103,000 🔻

  • $101,500 👣
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • $106,500 🔍

  • $108,000 ⚠️

  • $109,000 🏆
    

• Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
  

  • EMA 50: $105,500 📈

  • EMA 100: $105,200 📊

  • EMA 200: $104,800 📉

  • EMA 400: $103,600 📉
    

Weekly Pivots

• Pivot Point: $105,000 📍

• Support 1: $104,000 🔒

• Resistance 1: $106,000 🚧
  

Daily Pivots

• Pivot Point: $105,200 📍

• Support 1: $104,800 🔒

• Resistance 1: $106,200 🚧
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6%: $106,163 📏

• 38.2%: $105,000 📐

• 50%: $106,202 ⚖️

• 61.8%: $107,000 📊
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

Upcoming USD News

As we look ahead, several important USD news events could impact the BTCUSD market:

• Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: The upcoming Fed meeting is crucial, as any changes in interest rates or monetary policy can significantly affect Bitcoin prices. A rate hike could strengthen the USD, leading to potential downward pressure on Bitcoin. 📉

• Consumer Price Index (CPI): Upcoming CPI data will be essential to gauge inflationary pressures. Higher inflation may lead to increased demand for Bitcoin as a hedge, potentially driving prices higher. 🔍

• Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP): The release of NFP data will provide insights into employment trends and economic health, influencing market sentiment towards Bitcoin. 📊
  

Impact on BTCUSD Market

The upcoming USD news will be closely monitored by traders. A stronger USD generally leads to lower Bitcoin prices, while any dovish signals from the Fed could support Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset. Traders should remain vigilant and adjust their strategies based on these fundamental developments. ⚖️

Conclusion

In conclusion, the BTCUSD market analysis for June 18, 2025, presents a comprehensive view of the current Bitcoin price dynamics. By utilizing various technical indicators, including support and resistance levels, EMAs, Fibonacci retracement levels, and MACD analysis, traders can gain valuable insights into potential market movements. Additionally, staying informed about upcoming USD news will be crucial for making well-informed trading decisions.