🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—June 13, 2025

Introduction

In this comprehensive analysis, we will delve into the current state of the BTCUSD market, focusing on both daily and 4-hour timeframes. With the live market price of 104,275 USD 💰, we will utilize various technical indicators, including Fibonacci retracement levels 📉, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) 📊, RSI divergence 📈, weekly and daily pivots 🔄, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) 🧠, support and resistance levels 🚧, order blocks 📦, and the MACD 📉. This analysis aims to provide traders and investors with a clear picture of the market dynamics and potential trading opportunities.

Market Analysis

Current Market Overview

As of today, the BTCUSD is trading at 104,275 USD 💵. This price point is critical as it sits between significant support and resistance levels, impacting potential trading strategies.

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • 103,000 USD 🔽

  • 100,426 USD 🔽

  • 95,000 USD 🔽
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 110,000 USD 🔼

  • 112,000 USD 🔼

  • 115,000 USD 🔼
    

4-Hour Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • 106,000 USD 🔽

  • 105,000 USD 🔽

  • 104,000 USD 🔽
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 108,500 USD 🔼

  • 109,500 USD 🔼

  • 111,000 USD 🔼
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the swing high of 112,000 USD and swing low of 100,426 USD, the Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:

• 23.6%: 106,000 USD 📏

• 38.2%: 108,000 USD 📏

• 50.0%: 106,000 USD 📏

• 61.8%: 110,000 USD 📏

• 78.6%: 111,000 USD 📏
  

These levels serve as potential reversal points and are crucial for identifying entry and exit strategies.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Timeframe

• EMA 50: 104,500 USD 📊

• EMA 100: 102,000 USD 📊

• EMA 200: 98,000 USD 📊

• EMA 400: 90,000 USD 📊
  

4-Hour Timeframe

• EMA 50: 106,500 USD 📊

• EMA 100: 105,000 USD 📊

• EMA 200: 103,000 USD 📊

• EMA 400: 100,000 USD 📊
  

The EMAs are essential for understanding the market trend. The current price being above the EMA 50 on the daily chart suggests a bullish trend, while the proximity to the EMA levels on the 4-hour chart indicates potential short-term volatility.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing signs of divergence. A bullish divergence is noted as the price makes lower lows while the RSI makes higher lows. This divergence may indicate a potential reversal or correction in the current downtrend, suggesting that buyers could re-enter the market 📈.

Order Blocks

Analyzing order blocks reveals significant buying interest around the 103,000 USD support level 📦. This area has previously acted as a strong support zone, indicating that institutional buying may occur here again. Conversely, selling pressure can be anticipated near the 110,000 USD resistance level, where order blocks suggest profit-taking by larger market participants.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is currently in a bullish crossover, indicating potential upward momentum 📉. This signal, combined with the RSI divergence, strengthens the case for a possible price increase in the near future.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: 103,000 USD 🔽, 100,426 USD 🔽, 95,000 USD 🔽

• Daily Resistance Levels: 110,000 USD 🔼, 112,000 USD 🔼, 115,000 USD 🔼

• 4-Hour Support Levels: 106,000 USD 🔽, 105,000 USD 🔽, 104,000 USD 🔽

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: 108,500 USD 🔼, 109,500 USD 🔼, 111,000 USD 🔼
  

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels:

  
  

  • EMA 50: 104,500 USD 📊

  • EMA 100: 102,000 USD 📊

  • EMA 200: 98,000 USD 📊

  • EMA 400: 90,000 USD 📊
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 106,500 USD 📊

  • EMA 100: 105,000 USD 📊

  • EMA 200: 103,000 USD 📊

  • EMA 400: 100,000 USD 📊
    

Weekly Pivots

• Pivot Point: 106,500 USD 🔄

• Resistance 1: 108,000 USD 🔼

• Support 1: 105,000 USD 🔽
  

Daily Pivots

• Pivot Point: 107,000 USD 🔄

• Resistance 1: 108,500 USD 🔼

• Support 1: 106,500 USD 🔽
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6%: 106,000 USD 📏

• 38.2%: 108,000 USD 📏

• 50.0%: 106,000 USD 📏

• 61.8%: 110,000 USD 📏

• 78.6%: 111,000 USD 📏
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

As we look ahead, it is essential to consider the broader economic landscape affecting the BTCUSD market. Upcoming important USD news includes:

• Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 📅: The Federal Reserve is expected to announce its interest rate decision next week. Traders should pay close attention, as any changes in monetary policy can significantly impact the USD and, consequently, the BTCUSD pair.
  

• Inflation Reports 📈: The upcoming inflation report is also crucial. If inflation continues to rise, it may lead to a more aggressive stance from the Federal Reserve, impacting market sentiment and the value of Bitcoin.
  

These economic indicators can create volatility in the BTCUSD market, influencing trading strategies and investor behavior.

Conclusion

In summary, the BTCUSD market is currently at a pivotal point, trading at 104,275 USD 💵. With various indicators suggesting potential bullish signals, traders should remain vigilant and consider the key support and resistance levels, EMAs, Fibonacci retracement levels, and upcoming fundamental news. By staying informed and utilizing these technical tools, traders can make more informed decisions in this dynamic market.