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Neom Financial Academy

🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—June 12, 2025

  • Neom
  • Jun 12
  • 3 min read

Introduction

The cryptocurrency market remains highly dynamic, and Bitcoin (BTC) continues to attract significant attention from traders and investors alike. As of today, the BTCUSD market live price stands at 107,937 USD. In this analysis, we will explore the daily and 4-hour timeframes using various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, and more. Our goal is to provide a comprehensive overview of the current market conditions and help traders make informed decisions.

Market Analysis 🔍

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Timeframe

  • Support Levels:

    • 1st Support: 103,000 USD

    • 2nd Support: 100,426 USD (Swing Low)

    • 3rd Support: 95,000 USD

  • Resistance Levels:

    • 1st Resistance: 110,000 USD

    • 2nd Resistance: 112,000 USD (Swing High)

    • 3rd Resistance: 115,000 USD

4-Hour Timeframe

  • Support Levels:

    • 1st Support: 106,000 USD

    • 2nd Support: 105,000 USD

    • 3rd Support: 104,000 USD

  • Resistance Levels:

    • 1st Resistance: 108,500 USD

    • 2nd Resistance: 109,500 USD

    • 3rd Resistance: 111,000 USD

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Fibonacci Retracement Levels are essential for identifying potential reversal zones. Based on the recent swing high of 112,000 USD and swing low of 100,426 USD, the key Fibonacci levels are as follows:

  • 23.6%: 106,000 USD

  • 38.2%: 108,000 USD

  • 50.0%: 106,000 USD

  • 61.8%: 110,000 USD

  • 78.6%: 111,000 USD

These levels serve as critical points for traders to watch for potential price reactions.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Timeframe

  • EMA 50: 104,500 USD

  • EMA 100: 102,000 USD

  • EMA 200: 98,000 USD

  • EMA 400: 90,000 USD

4-Hour Timeframe

  • EMA 50: 106,500 USD

  • EMA 100: 105,000 USD

  • EMA 200: 103,000 USD

  • EMA 400: 100,000 USD

The EMAs provide insight into the overall trend direction. Currently, the price is above the 50 EMA on the daily timeframe, indicating bullish momentum.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Currently, the RSI is around 60, indicating that Bitcoin is approaching overbought territory. Traders should be cautious of potential RSI divergence, where the price may continue to rise while the RSI starts to decline, signaling a possible reversal.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are areas where significant buying or selling has occurred, indicating strong support or resistance levels. On the daily timeframe, the most notable order block is located around 105,000 USD, where previous buying activity has led to price increases. This level can act as a strong support zone if tested again.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is another critical indicator for trend analysis. The MACD line is currently above the signal line, suggesting bullish momentum. However, traders should monitor for any potential crossovers that could indicate a shift in trend direction.

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Summary Key Levels 📝


  • Daily Support & Resistance:

    • Support: 103,000 USD, 100,426 USD, 95,000 USD

    • Resistance: 110,000 USD, 112,000 USD, 115,000 USD

  • 4-Hour Support & Resistance:

    • Support: 106,000 USD, 105,000 USD, 104,000 USD

    • Resistance: 108,500 USD, 109,500 USD, 111,000 USD

  • Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):

    • Daily:

      • EMA 50: 104,500 USD

      • EMA 100: 102,000 USD

      • EMA 200: 98,000 USD

      • EMA 400: 90,000 USD

    • 4-Hour:

      • EMA 50: 106,500 USD

      • EMA 100: 105,000 USD

      • EMA 200: 103,000 USD

      • EMA 400: 100,000 USD

  • Weekly Pivots:

    • Pivot Point: 106,500 USD

    • Resistance 1: 108,000 USD

    • Support 1: 105,000 USD

  • Daily Pivots:

    • Pivot Point: 107,000 USD

    • Resistance 1: 108,500 USD

    • Support 1: 106,500 USD

  • Fibonacci Retracement Levels:

    • 23.6%: 106,000 USD

    • 38.2%: 108,000 USD

    • 50.0%: 106,000 USD

    • 61.8%: 110,000 USD

    • 78.6%: 111,000 USD

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News 📈

As we look ahead, several important USD news events could impact the BTCUSD market. Key upcoming reports include:

  1. Consumer Price Index (CPI): Scheduled for release next week, the CPI report will provide insights into inflation trends. A higher-than-expected CPI could strengthen the USD, potentially leading to downward pressure on BTC.

  2. Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting will focus on interest rate decisions. Any signals regarding future monetary policy could significantly influence market sentiment and Bitcoin's price action.

  3. Unemployment Rate: The unemployment figures will also be released soon, which can affect consumer spending and economic outlook. A lower unemployment rate may bolster the USD, impacting BTC’s appeal as an alternative asset.

Traders should closely monitor these events as they can introduce volatility and influence market dynamics.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the BTCUSD market presents a variety of trading opportunities based on the current technical indicators and analysis. By utilizing support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, EMAs, RSI divergence, and MACD, traders can make informed decisions in this volatile market. Additionally, staying updated on fundamental news will enhance your trading strategy, allowing for better risk management and profit potential. Happy trading! 🚀💹


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