🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—July 9, 2025

Introduction

In the volatile landscape of cryptocurrency trading, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to capture the attention of investors and traders alike. As of today, the live market price of BTCUSD stands at 109,080 USD. This analysis delves into the daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing a range of technical indicators including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and more.

Market Overview

The BTCUSD pair has exhibited significant price movements in recent days, with a swing high of 110,557 USD and a swing low of 105,130 USD. Understanding the current market dynamics through various indicators is essential for making informed trading decisions.

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Support: 106,500 USD

  • 2nd Support: 105,130 USD

  • 3rd Support: 104,000 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Resistance: 110,557 USD

  • 2nd Resistance: 112,000 USD

  • 3rd Resistance: 113,500 USD
    

4-Hour Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Support: 108,000 USD

  • 2nd Support: 107,000 USD

  • 3rd Support: 106,000 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Resistance: 110,000 USD

  • 2nd Resistance: 110,500 USD

  • 3rd Resistance: 111,000 USD
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the daily swing levels of 110,557 USD (high) and 105,130 USD (low), the Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:

• 23.6% Level: 109,080 USD

• 38.2% Level: 108,000 USD

• 61.8% Level: 106,500 USD
  

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 108,250 USD

• EMA 100: 107,800 USD

• EMA 200: 106,500 USD

• EMA 400: 105,000 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 109,000 USD

• EMA 100: 108,500 USD

• EMA 200: 107,500 USD

• EMA 400: 106,000 USD
  

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing a divergence pattern. The price has made a higher high at 110,557 USD, while the RSI has not confirmed this high, indicating a potential weakening momentum and possible reversal.

Order Blocks

Order blocks identified in the recent price action suggest significant buying interest around the 106,500 USD level, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Sellers have shown resistance near 110,000 USD, suggesting a potential area of profit-taking.

MACD Analysis

The MACD indicator indicates a bullish crossover, suggesting that the momentum may continue to favor buyers in the short term. However, if the MACD line begins to converge with the signal line, it could indicate a potential slowdown in upward movement.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: 106,500 USD, 105,130 USD, 104,000 USD

• Daily Resistance Levels: 110,557 USD, 112,000 USD, 113,500 USD

• 4-Hour Support Levels: 108,000 USD, 107,000 USD, 106,000 USD

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: 110,000 USD, 110,500 USD, 111,000 USD
  

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

• Daily EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 108,250 USD

  • EMA 100: 107,800 USD

  • EMA 200: 106,500 USD

  • EMA 400: 105,000 USD
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 109,000 USD

  • EMA 100: 108,500 USD

  • EMA 200: 107,500 USD

  • EMA 400: 106,000 USD
    

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot Points:
  

  • Pivot: 108,500 USD

  • Resistance 1: 110,000 USD

  • Support 1: 107,000 USD
    

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot Points:
  

  • Pivot: 109,000 USD

  • Resistance 1: 110,000 USD

  • Support 1: 108,500 USD
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• Key Levels: 109,080 USD (23.6%), 108,000 USD (38.2%), 106,500 USD (61.8%)
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

As we analyze the current market dynamics, it is crucial to consider upcoming economic events that may influence the BTCUSD pair. Key USD news to watch for this month includes:

• CPI Data Release: Scheduled for July 12, 2025. This report will provide insights into inflation trends, which can impact monetary policy and, in turn, the cryptocurrency market.
  

• FOMC Meeting Minutes: Expected on July 15, 2025. Insights from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate policies could lead to increased volatility in the BTCUSD market.

Understanding these events is essential for traders as they can significantly affect market sentiment and price movements.

Conclusion

The BTCUSD market remains dynamic, with various technical indicators providing insights into potential price movements. As of today, the price stands at 109,080 USD, with critical support and resistance levels identified. Traders should remain vigilant to upcoming USD news and monitor the technical indicators to make informed trading decisions.