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🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—July 8, 2025

  • Neom
  • Jul 8
  • 3 min read

Introduction

The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility and rapid price movements, making daily analysis crucial for traders and investors alike. Today, we delve into the current state of the BTCUSD market, examining key indicators and levels that could influence future price action. With the live price of Bitcoin currently at $108,091, we will analyze the daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing tools such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, and more.

Market Overview

Current Price:

BTCUSD: $108,091

Key Swing Levels:

  • Swing High: $110,557

  • Swing Low: $105,130

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

  • Support Levels:

    • Level 1: $106,500

    • Level 2: $105,130

    • Level 3: $104,000

  • Resistance Levels:

    • Level 1: $109,500

    • Level 2: $110,000

    • Level 3: $110,557

4-Hour Time Frame:


  • Support Levels:

    • Level 1: $107,000

    • Level 2: $106,000

    • Level 3: $105,500

  • Resistance Levels:

    • Level 1: $108,500

    • Level 2: $109,000

    • Level 3: $109,500

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Utilizing the Fibonacci retracement tool on the daily time frame, we can identify key retracement levels based on the recent swing high and low:

  • 23.6% Level: $109,000

  • 38.2% Level: $107,500

  • 50% Level: $106,845

  • 61.8% Level: $105,500

These levels are critical for identifying potential reversal points and confirming support and resistance zones.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame:

  • EMA 50: $107,800

  • EMA 100: $106,900

  • EMA 200: $105,500

  • EMA 400: $104,200

4-Hour Time Frame:

  • EMA 50: $108,200

  • EMA 100: $107,500

  • EMA 200: $106,800

  • EMA 400: $105,600

The EMAs provide insight into the overall trend direction. In the daily time frame, the price is above the 50 EMA, indicating a bullish trend, while the 4-hour time frame shows a slight consolidation phase.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering around 62, indicating bullish momentum. However, a divergence is observed as prices approach the swing high of $110,557. This could suggest a potential reversal or pullback if the RSI begins to decline while the price continues to rise.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are essential for understanding institutional buying and selling behavior. Currently, significant order blocks are located around:

  • Buy Order Block: $106,500 - $107,000

  • Sell Order Block: $109,000 - $109,500


These areas are crucial for traders looking to enter positions based on institutional activity.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing a bullish crossover, with the MACD line above the signal line. This reinforces the bullish sentiment in the market, suggesting that momentum may continue in the upward direction.

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Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

  • Daily Support Levels: $106,500, $105,130, $104,000

  • Daily Resistance Levels: $109,500, $110,000, $110,557

  • 4-Hour Support Levels: $107,000, $106,000, $105,500

  • 4-Hour Resistance Levels: $108,500, $109,000, $109,500

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

  • Daily EMA Levels:

    • EMA 50: $107,800

    • EMA 100: $106,900

    • EMA 200: $105,500

    • EMA 400: $104,200

  • 4-Hour EMA Levels:

    • EMA 50: $108,200

    • EMA 100: $107,500

    • EMA 200: $106,800

    • EMA 400: $105,600

Weekly Pivots

  • Pivot Point: $107,800

  • Resistance 1: $109,000

  • Support 1: $106,500

Daily Pivots

  • Pivot Point: $108,000

  • Resistance 1: $109,000

  • Support 1: $107,000

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

  • 23.6% Level: $109,000

  • 38.2% Level: $107,500

  • 50% Level: $106,845

  • 61.8% Level: $105,500

Fundamental Analysis and USD News

In addition to technical indicators, fundamental analysis plays a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming USD economic news that could impact the BTCUSD market.

Upcoming Important USD News:

  • CPI Data Release: Scheduled for July 12, 2025, this data will provide insights into inflation trends, which can significantly affect the USD's strength and, consequently, Bitcoin's price.

  • Federal Reserve Meeting: Set for July 25, 2025, any announcements regarding interest rate changes or monetary policy adjustments will be closely watched by traders.

These events can lead to increased volatility in the BTCUSD market, as shifts in the USD can directly influence Bitcoin's price dynamics.

Conclusion

The BTCUSD market is currently positioned for potential upward movement, supported by various technical indicators. Traders should remain vigilant of key support and resistance levels, as well as upcoming economic news that could impact market sentiment. By utilizing tools such as Fibonacci retracement levels, EMAs, and MACD, investors can make informed decisions in this dynamic trading environment.

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