🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—July 28, 2025

Introduction

Welcome to today's detailed market analysis of BTCUSD, where we will delve into the current price action and key technical indicators that shape the market landscape. As of now, BTCUSD is trading at 119,487 USD. This analysis will cover both daily and 4-hour time frames, utilizing a variety of indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, Support & Resistance levels, Order Blocks, and MACD.

Market Overview

Current Price

• BTCUSD Live Price: 119,487 USD
  

Recent Swing Levels

• Swing High: 123,236 USD

• Swing Low: 114,518 USD
  

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Support: 114,518 USD (Swing Low)

  • 2nd Support: 116,000 USD

  • 3rd Support: 117,500 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Resistance: 123,236 USD (Swing High)

  • 2nd Resistance: 121,000 USD

  • 3rd Resistance: 120,000 USD
    

4-Hour Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • 1st Support: 116,500 USD

  • 2nd Support: 115,000 USD

  • 3rd Support: 114,800 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • 1st Resistance: 120,000 USD

  • 2nd Resistance: 121,500 USD

  • 3rd Resistance: 122,000 USD
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the recent swing high and swing low, we can identify key Fibonacci levels that may act as support or resistance:

• 0% Level: 123,236 USD (Swing High)

• 23.6% Level: 120,000 USD

• 38.2% Level: 118,000 USD

• 50% Level: 116,000 USD

• 61.8% Level: 114,800 USD (Swing Low)
  

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame:

• 50 EMA: 118,500 USD

• 100 EMA: 117,000 USD

• 200 EMA: 115,000 USD

• 400 EMA: 112,000 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• 50 EMA: 119,000 USD

• 100 EMA: 118,000 USD

• 200 EMA: 116,500 USD

• 400 EMA: 115,000 USD
  

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently indicating a potential divergence. As BTCUSD approaches the swing high, the RSI is showing lower highs, suggesting a weakening momentum. Traders should watch for potential reversal signals as the price tests resistance levels.

Order Blocks

Order blocks on the daily time frame are identified around the 116,000 USD and 120,000 USD levels. These areas indicate where significant buying or selling has occurred previously, and they can serve as strong support and resistance zones.

MACD Analysis

The MACD indicator is currently in a bullish position, with the MACD line above the signal line. However, traders should be cautious of potential crossovers that may indicate a shift in momentum. The histogram is also showing decreasing momentum, which could suggest a potential pullback.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support: 114,518 USD, 116,000 USD, 117,500 USD

• Daily Resistance: 123,236 USD, 121,000 USD, 120,000 USD

• 4-Hour Support: 116,500 USD, 115,000 USD, 114,800 USD

• 4-Hour Resistance: 120,000 USD, 121,500 USD, 122,000 USD
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA:
  

  • 50 EMA: 118,500 USD

  • 100 EMA: 117,000 USD

  • 200 EMA: 115,000 USD

  • 400 EMA: 112,000 USD
    

• 4-Hour EMA:
  

  • 50 EMA: 119,000 USD

  • 100 EMA: 118,000 USD

  • 200 EMA: 116,500 USD

  • 400 EMA: 115,000 USD
    

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot 1: 118,000 USD

• Weekly Pivot 2: 119,000 USD

• Weekly Pivot 3: 120,500 USD
  

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot 1: 118,500 USD

• Daily Pivot 2: 119,000 USD

• Daily Pivot 3: 119,500 USD
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 0% Level: 123,236 USD

• 23.6% Level: 120,000 USD

• 38.2% Level: 118,000 USD

• 50% Level: 116,000 USD

• 61.8% Level: 114,800 USD
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

As traders evaluate the BTCUSD market, it is crucial to consider the broader economic environment, particularly developments related to the USD.

Upcoming USD News

• Federal Reserve Meeting: Scheduled for August 15, 2025, this meeting will address interest rates and monetary policy, which can significantly impact the cryptocurrency market.
  

• Inflation Data Release: On August 10, 2025, the latest inflation figures will be published. Higher inflation could lead to increased volatility in the BTCUSD pair as traders react to potential changes in monetary policy.
  

These upcoming events are critical as they may influence market sentiment and price action for BTCUSD. Traders should remain vigilant and adjust their strategies accordingly.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the BTCUSD market is currently navigating through crucial support and resistance levels while exhibiting signs of potential divergence in momentum. By closely monitoring the indicators discussed, traders can make informed decisions in this dynamic market. With significant USD news on the horizon, market participants should remain alert to potential shifts in price action.