🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—July 11, 2025

Introduction

In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, understanding market dynamics is crucial for traders and investors alike. As of today, the live price of Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD) stands at $118,293. This analysis delves into the daily and 4-hour timeframes, employing a variety of technical indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, and more. By examining these factors, we aim to provide a comprehensive overview of the current market conditions and potential future movements.

Market Overview

Current Price

• BTCUSD Live Price: $118,293
  

Recent Swing Levels

• Swing High: $110,557

• Swing Low: $107,471
  

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • Level 1: $116,000

  • Level 2: $114,500

  • Level 3: $113,000
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • Level 1: $120,000

  • Level 2: $122,500

  • Level 3: $125,000
    

4-Hour Timeframe

• Support Levels:
  

  • Level 1: $117,000

  • Level 2: $116,500

  • Level 3: $115,500
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • Level 1: $119,000

  • Level 2: $120,500

  • Level 3: $121,500
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Utilizing the Fibonacci Retracement tool on the daily timeframe, we can identify the following key levels based on the recent swing high and swing low:

• 0% Level: $110,557 (Swing High)

• 23.6% Level: $112,000

• 38.2% Level: $114,000

• 50% Level: $115,000

• 61.8% Level: $116,500

• 100% Level: $107,471 (Swing Low)
  

These levels can act as potential reversal points, giving traders insights into where to enter or exit positions.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Timeframe

• EMA 50: $117,800

• EMA 100: $116,200

• EMA 200: $112,500

• EMA 400: $109,000
  

4-Hour Timeframe

• EMA 50: $118,000

• EMA 100: $116,800

• EMA 200: $115,000

• EMA 400: $113,000
  

The EMAs indicate the overall trend direction, with the 50 EMA providing short-term insights and the 200 EMA offering long-term perspectives.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing signs of divergence on the daily timeframe. As BTCUSD approaches resistance levels, the RSI is not confirming the price action, indicating a potential reversal or consolidation phase. Traders should monitor this closely, as it could signal a weakening bullish momentum.

Order Blocks

Order blocks have been identified at the following levels:

• Bullish Order Block: $115,000 - $116,000

• Bearish Order Block: $119,500 - $120,500
  

These zones represent significant buying and selling interest, which could influence future price movements.

MACD Analysis

The MACD indicator is currently in a bullish crossover on the daily timeframe, suggesting positive momentum. However, traders should be cautious as the histogram is showing signs of flattening, indicating potential exhaustion in the bullish trend.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: $116,000, $114,500, $113,000

• Daily Resistance Levels: $120,000, $122,500, $125,000

• 4-Hour Support Levels: $117,000, $116,500, $115,500

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: $119,000, $120,500, $121,500
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels: 50: $117,800, 100: $116,200, 200: $112,500, 400: $109,000

• 4-Hour EMA Levels: 50: $118,000, 100: $116,800, 200: $115,000, 400: $113,000
  

Weekly Pivots

• Pivot Point: $118,000

• Support: $116,500

• Resistance: $120,500
  

Daily Pivots

• Pivot Point: $118,000

• Support: $117,000

• Resistance: $119,000
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• Key Levels: 0%: $110,557, 23.6%: $112,000, 38.2%: $114,000, 50%: $115,000, 61.8%: $116,500, 100%: $107,471
  

Fundamental Analysis and USD News

As we look ahead, several important USD news events could impact the BTCUSD market. Traders should pay attention to:

• Interest Rate Decisions: The upcoming Federal Reserve meetings are crucial, as changes in interest rates can significantly affect market sentiment towards risk assets like Bitcoin.

• Inflation Reports: Any updates on inflation rates could lead to volatility in the USD, subsequently impacting BTC prices.

• Employment Data Releases: Reports on employment figures can also influence the USD, leading traders to reassess their positions in BTC.

Staying informed about these events is essential for making educated trading decisions.

Conclusion

In summary, the BTCUSD market is currently navigating through critical support and resistance levels, with various technical indicators providing insights into potential future movements. The combination of Fibonacci retracement levels, EMA values, RSI divergence, order blocks, and MACD analysis paints a comprehensive picture for traders. As always, keeping an eye on fundamental news will be crucial for anticipating market shifts.