🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—August 22, 2025

Introduction

As of today, the BTCUSD market is trading at 113,117 USD. This analysis provides a comprehensive overview of the current market conditions using various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, weekly and daily pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), support and resistance levels, order blocks, and MACD. Understanding these elements can help traders make informed decisions and navigate the volatile cryptocurrency landscape effectively.

Market Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support Level: 116,856 USD (Swing Low)

  • Second Support Level: 112,000 USD

  • Third Support Level: 110,000 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance Level: 124,517 USD (Swing High)

  • Second Resistance Level: 118,500 USD

  • Third Resistance Level: 120,000 USD
    

4-Hour Time Frame

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support Level: 116,856 USD

  • Second Support Level: 114,500 USD

  • Third Support Level: 113,000 USD
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance Level: 115,500 USD

  • Second Resistance Level: 117,000 USD

  • Third Resistance Level: 119,000 USD
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the recent swing high of 124,517 USD and swing low of 116,856 USD, the Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:

• 23.6% Level: 118,000 USD

• 38.2% Level: 117,500 USD

• 50% Level: 120,000 USD

• 61.8% Level: 122,000 USD
  

These levels can act as potential reversal points in the market, providing traders with crucial insights into where price action may change direction.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame

• EMA 50: 112,500 USD

• EMA 100: 111,200 USD

• EMA 200: 109,800 USD

• EMA 400: 107,000 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame

• EMA 50: 113,500 USD

• EMA 100: 112,000 USD

• EMA 200: 110,500 USD

• EMA 400: 108,500 USD
  

The EMAs indicate the overall trend direction. In the daily time frame, the price is above the EMA 50, suggesting a bullish trend, while the 4-hour time frame shows a mixed picture, indicating potential consolidation.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently indicates a divergence pattern on both daily and 4-hour time frames. The RSI is hovering around 55, suggesting that while the price is making higher highs, the RSI is not confirming this strength. This divergence could signal a potential reversal or correction in the near future, warranting caution for traders.

Order Blocks

Order blocks on the daily time frame show significant buying interest around the 112,500 USD level, indicating a strong support area. Conversely, selling pressure is evident near the 118,500 USD resistance level, which traders should monitor closely. These order blocks reflect the institutional buying and selling activity that can influence future price movements.

MACD Analysis

The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover on the daily time frame, suggesting upward momentum. However, the histogram is beginning to flatten, indicating that the momentum may be slowing down. On the 4-hour time frame, the MACD is also bullish but showing signs of potential divergence, which could lead to a short-term pullback.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support: 116,856 USD, 112,000 USD, 110,000 USD

• Daily Resistance: 124,517 USD, 118,500 USD, 120,000 USD

• 4-Hour Support: 116,856 USD, 114,500 USD, 113,000 USD

• 4-Hour Resistance: 115,500 USD, 117,000 USD, 119,000 USD
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 112,500 USD

  • EMA 100: 111,200 USD

  • EMA 200: 109,800 USD

  • EMA 400: 107,000 USD
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: 113,500 USD

  • EMA 100: 112,000 USD

  • EMA 200: 110,500 USD

  • EMA 400: 108,500 USD
    

Weekly and Daily Pivots

• Weekly Pivots:
  

  • Pivot Point: 115,000 USD

  • Resistance 1: 117,000 USD

  • Support 1: 113,000 USD
    

• Daily Pivots:
  

  • Pivot Point: 114,500 USD

  • Resistance 1: 116,000 USD

  • Support 1: 113,000 USD
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• Key Fibonacci Levels:
  

  • 23.6%: 118,000 USD

  • 38.2%: 117,500 USD

  • 50%: 120,000 USD

  • 61.8%: 122,000 USD
    

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

The BTCUSD market is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, particularly those related to the USD. Traders should keep an eye on upcoming USD news, including:

• Federal Reserve Meetings: Decisions on interest rates can significantly impact cryptocurrency markets. An increase in rates could strengthen the USD, potentially leading to downward pressure on BTC.
  

• Inflation Reports: Higher inflation rates may drive investors toward cryptocurrencies as a hedge, influencing BTC prices positively.
  

• Employment Data: Strong employment figures can bolster USD strength, while weak data may lead to increased interest in alternative assets like Bitcoin.
  

Monitoring these events will provide traders with insights into how the BTCUSD market may react in the coming weeks.

Conclusion

In summary, the current BTCUSD market presents a mix of bullish and bearish signals. By analyzing support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, EMAs, RSI divergence, order blocks, and MACD, traders can gain valuable insights into potential price movements. Staying informed about upcoming USD news will also be crucial for making well-informed trading decisions. As always, risk management should be a priority to navigate the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market effectively.