🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—August 21, 2025

Introduction

In today's analysis, we delve into the BTCUSD market, currently priced at 113,471 USD. This comprehensive market overview will utilize various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, weekly and daily pivots, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), support and resistance levels, order blocks, and MACD. By examining both daily and 4-hour time frames, we aim to provide a detailed perspective on potential price movements and trading opportunities.

Market Analysis

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support: 116,856 USD (Swing Low)

  • Second Support: 110,000 USD (Psychological Level)

  • Third Support: 105,000 USD (Historical Support)
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance: 124,517 USD (Swing High)

  • Second Resistance: 125,000 USD (Psychological Level)

  • Third Resistance: 130,000 USD (Historical Resistance)
    

4-Hour Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support: 112,000 USD (Recent Low)

  • Second Support: 110,500 USD (Order Block)

  • Third Support: 108,000 USD (Previous Support)
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance: 114,500 USD (Recent High)

  • Second Resistance: 115,500 USD (Order Block)

  • Third Resistance: 117,000 USD (Previous Resistance)
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Using the recent swing high of 124,517 USD and swing low of 116,856 USD, we can identify key Fibonacci retracement levels:

• 23.6% Retracement: 118,000 USD

• 38.2% Retracement: 119,500 USD

• 50% Retracement: 120,000 USD

• 61.8% Retracement: 121,500 USD
  

These levels indicate potential reversal points where traders may look for buying or selling opportunities.

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 112,500 USD

• EMA 100: 111,000 USD

• EMA 200: 109,000 USD

• EMA 400: 106,500 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 113,000 USD

• EMA 100: 112,000 USD

• EMA 200: 110,500 USD

• EMA 400: 109,000 USD
  

The EMAs serve as dynamic support and resistance levels, with the 50 EMA often acting as a key indicator of short-term trends.

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing divergence on the daily time frame. While the price made a new high, the RSI failed to follow suit, indicating potential weakness in the current bullish momentum. This divergence could signal a possible correction or reversal in the near term.

Order Blocks

Order blocks are crucial areas where significant buying or selling has occurred. Currently, we identify a strong order block around 112,000 USD on the 4-hour chart, which aligns with key support levels. This area may attract buying interest, providing a potential entry point for traders.

MACD Analysis

The MACD indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover on the daily time frame, suggesting that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. However, traders should remain cautious of potential pullbacks, particularly given the RSI divergence observed earlier.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: 116,856 USD, 110,000 USD, 105,000 USD

• Daily Resistance Levels: 124,517 USD, 125,000 USD, 130,000 USD

• 4-Hour Support Levels: 112,000 USD, 110,500 USD, 108,000 USD

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: 114,500 USD, 115,500 USD, 117,000 USD
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 112,500 USD

• EMA 100: 111,000 USD

• EMA 200: 109,000 USD

• EMA 400: 106,500 USD
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• EMA 50: 113,000 USD

• EMA 100: 112,000 USD

• EMA 200: 110,500 USD

• EMA 400: 109,000 USD
  

Weekly and Daily Pivots

Weekly Pivots:

• Pivot Point: 113,000 USD

• Resistance 1: 114,000 USD

• Support 1: 112,000 USD
  

Daily Pivots:

• Pivot Point: 113,500 USD

• Resistance 1: 114,500 USD

• Support 1: 112,500 USD
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6% Retracement: 118,000 USD

• 38.2% Retracement: 119,500 USD

• 50% Retracement: 120,000 USD

• 61.8% Retracement: 121,500 USD
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News 📅

As we analyze the BTCUSD market, it is essential to consider upcoming economic events that may impact the cryptocurrency landscape. Key USD news to watch in the coming weeks includes:

• Federal Reserve Meeting: Scheduled for next month, this meeting could lead to significant changes in interest rates, directly affecting market liquidity and investor sentiment towards BTC.

• Inflation Reports: Upcoming inflation data releases will be pivotal in shaping market expectations and could lead to increased volatility in the BTCUSD pair.

• Employment Reports: The monthly employment figures will provide insights into the health of the U.S. economy, influencing the dollar's strength and, consequently, BTC's performance.
  

These fundamental factors can create substantial market movements, impacting trading strategies and decision-making for BTCUSD traders.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the current analysis of the BTCUSD market reveals critical support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, and the implications of various technical indicators. As traders navigate this dynamic market, understanding both technical and fundamental aspects will be essential for making informed trading decisions. By employing strategies that incorporate trailing stop losses, layered positions, and a keen awareness of market sentiment, traders can optimize their potential for profit in the evolving cryptocurrency landscape.