🟡 BTCUSD Daily Market Analysis—August 1, 2025

Introduction

In the world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) remains a focal point for investors and traders alike. As of today, the BTCUSD market price stands at $114,908. This analysis aims to provide a comprehensive overview of the BTCUSD market using various technical indicators such as Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), RSI divergence, and more. We will delve into the daily and 4-hour time frames to identify key support and resistance levels, along with insights into upcoming USD news that could impact market dynamics.

Market Analysis Section

Support & Resistance Levels

Daily Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support: $114,518 (Swing Low)

  • Second Support: $113,000

  • Third Support: $111,500
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance: $123,236 (Swing High)

  • Second Resistance: $125,000

  • Third Resistance: $128,000
    

4-Hour Time Frame:

• Support Levels:
  

  • First Support: $114,700

  • Second Support: $114,000

  • Third Support: $113,500
    

• Resistance Levels:
  

  • First Resistance: $115,500

  • Second Resistance: $116,000

  • Third Resistance: $117,000
    

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Utilizing Fibonacci Retracement levels can provide insights into potential reversal points based on recent price swings. The key swing high at $123,236 and swing low at $114,518 yield the following retracement levels:

• 23.6% Level: $116,000

• 38.2% Level: $115,000

• 50% Level: $118,000

• 61.8% Level: $120,000
  

Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)

Daily Time Frame:

• EMA 50: $115,000

• EMA 100: $114,200

• EMA 200: $112,800

• EMA 400: $110,500
  

4-Hour Time Frame:

• EMA 50: $114,900

• EMA 100: $114,600

• EMA 200: $114,300

• EMA 400: $113,500
  

RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing signs of divergence on the daily time frame. While the price approaches the swing high of $123,236, the RSI indicates a potential weakening momentum, suggesting that traders should be cautious of a possible reversal or pullback.

Order Blocks

Identifying order blocks can help traders understand areas of significant buying or selling pressure. On the daily chart, a notable order block is present around $114,500, where buyers have historically stepped in, providing a potential support zone.

MACD Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently bullish, with the MACD line above the signal line. This suggests that the momentum is in favor of the buyers, reinforcing the potential for upward movement in the near term.

Summary of Key Levels

Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance

• Daily Support Levels: $114,518, $113,000, $111,500

• Daily Resistance Levels: $123,236, $125,000, $128,000

• 4-Hour Support Levels: $114,700, $114,000, $113,500

• 4-Hour Resistance Levels: $115,500, $116,000, $117,000
  

Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels

• Daily EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: $115,000

  • EMA 100: $114,200

  • EMA 200: $112,800

  • EMA 400: $110,500
    

• 4-Hour EMA Levels:
  

  • EMA 50: $114,900

  • EMA 100: $114,600

  • EMA 200: $114,300

  • EMA 400: $113,500
    

Weekly Pivots

• Weekly Pivot Point: $116,500

• Resistance Levels: $117,500, $118,500

• Support Levels: $115,500, $114,500
  

Daily Pivots

• Daily Pivot Point: $115,000

• Resistance Levels: $116,000, $117,000

• Support Levels: $114,000, $113,000
  

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

• 23.6% Level: $116,000

• 38.2% Level: $115,000

• 50% Level: $118,000

• 61.8% Level: $120,000
  

Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News

As we look ahead, it's crucial to consider how macroeconomic factors, particularly related to the USD, can influence the BTCUSD market. Upcoming important USD news includes:

• Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: Scheduled for mid-August, this decision could significantly impact market sentiment and investor behavior regarding cryptocurrencies.
  

• Inflation Data Release: Set for the end of August, any shifts in inflation rates could lead to volatility in the USD, thereby affecting BTC prices.
  

Investors should remain vigilant and consider these upcoming events as potential catalysts for price movements in the BTCUSD market.

Conclusion

In summary, the BTCUSD market analysis for August 1, 2025, reveals a complex interplay of technical indicators and fundamental factors. With current support and resistance levels established, alongside the insights from EMA, RSI, and MACD, traders can better navigate the market landscape. Keeping an eye on upcoming USD news will also be crucial for making informed trading decisions.